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Current DateTime: 10:32:21 05 Jul 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30111251

Current DateTime: 10:32:21 05 Jul 2009
LinksList Documentid: 23371764
    • Profit by Playing Follow the Leader

        Markets don't develop in isolation, neither do they develop in unison. In any related group, there's usually a leader, and a laggard. These inter-market relationships provide good trading opportunities because one index will lead the way in behavior and development. Alert traders watch the leader, then look for a duplication of this behavior in other associated markets.

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Oct.10
2:04 PM ET
Friday, 10 Oct 2008
Dow and the Depression

As the markets continue their freefall, discussion of the Great Depression has begun to emerge.  While economic conditions are nowhere near the levels they were back then (e.g., unemployment over 25% vs. 6% now), here is a look back at how the Dow [.DJIA  Loading...      ()   ] fell over that dark period.

The Dow and the Great Depression

  • The Dow peaked at 381.17 on 9/3/1929
  • Crashed on 10/28-29 falling from 301 to 230 or 23.6%
  • One year after the peak (9/3/1930) the Dow closed at 237.54, down 37.3% from its peak (vs. the 39% drop we saw as of yesterday's close from the 2007 peak)
  • Continued to slide until 7/8/1932 where it bottomed at 41.22, down 89.2% of its value over 2.5 years
  • The Dow did not cross above 381 again until 11/23/1954, over 25 years after its 1929 peak

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