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Warren Buffett Watch
Barron's: Berkshire Hathaway's Stock Price Plunge Finally Makes It "Cheap" Again
Barron's put the big, bold headline "Sell Buffett" on its cover late last December. At the time, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway had just closed at $143,000. The financial weekly predicted the stock would fall. It did.
Since then, Berkshire has dropped as much as 48 percent, sinking to $74,100 during Thursday's session before rebounding by 16 percent on Friday to close at $90,000.
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In Finally, Berkshire Looks Undervalued, Senior Editor Andrew Bary writes that Berkshire's long-term put options on $37 billion of equity indexes "looks like a rare mistake by" Buffett, but "Wall Street seems to have overpunished the stock for the bet."
And, he notes that Berkshire has a triple-A credit rating and "loads of earnings power" thanks to its many businesses. "If the stock market rallies in 2009, Berkshire will probably see record profits" with help from "improving conditions" for its insurance units and the 10 percent a year it will get from investing a total of $8 billion in General Electric and Goldman Sachs.
Bary writes that Berkshire's stock price has been linked to its book value in the past. Barron's estimates it is currently around $66,000 a share. That means the stock is now trading at 1.4 times that estimated book value, "versus an average of around 1.5 in the past decade -- and current book is depressed. If the stock market rallies 25 percent in the next year, the stock could hit $110,000, or 1.4 times potential year-end '09 book value of $80,000 a share."
And if stocks don't rebound, Berkshire's "downside seems limited" due to its very strong balance sheet.
Current Berkshire stock prices:
Class A: [US;BRK.A
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Class B: [US;BRK.B
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General Electric: [GE
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Goldman Sachs: [GS
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Questions? Comments? Email me at
- Berkshire Hathaway Bounces Back By 16% For Best Day In Decades (November 21)
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- Berkshire Hathaway Down Almost 50% From All-Time High As Stock Sinks Again (November 21)
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- A Goldman Opportunity: How Average Investors Can "Out-Buffett" Warren Buffett (November 19)
- Buffett's Berkshire Gets A Billion In Beer Bucks (November 18)
- Berkshire Hathaway Shares Close Below $100,000 For First Time In Two Years (November 17)










