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Chartology: Trapped In A Range?
After Monday's massive selloff is it time to buy? Will the market now climb like it did last week?
That’s the question on every investor’s lips and there’s no easy answer. But for insights we turned to Natixis Bleichroeder technical analyst John Roque, he’s one of the most followed market technicians working today.
According to Roque, we are currently in a downward trend, and the de-leveraging of the market and economy is not over. Here’s why.
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"Although the number of new lows has dropped dramatically in the NYSE, we're not having a rally and we should be," says Roque. That suggests that environment is less about economic fundamentals and more about a de-leveraging.”
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Patterns in the S&P look bearish to Roque. He says, “even though the S&P had a positive divergence at its recent low, it hasn't yet moved above the downward-sloping trend line.” He thinks it could be heading to 680.
What’s the bottom line? Now is not the time to buy in; it's too soon to tell if the rebound is for real, concludes Roque. "I continue to expect negative moves. The trend is down."
But if you interpret that to mean play it short, Guy Adami has a word of caution. “Sure the trend could be lower now, but when the snap back comes it could be fierce,” he says.
To see John Roque's entire analysis please watch the video.
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Trader disclosure: On Dec. 1st, 2008, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Adami Owns (AGU), (BTU), (C), (GS), (INTC), (MSFT), (NUE); Macke Owns (WMT), (MSFT), (UUP), (DIS); Macke Is Short (YHOO), (TM); Finerman's Firm Owns (MSFT); Finerman's Firm Is Short (IYR), (IJR), (MDY),(SPY), (IWM), (COF), (BBT), (USO), (VNO), (EQR); Finerman's Firm Owns (DSX) And Is Short (GNK); Seymour Owns (AAPL), (AA), (BAC), (F), (MER); Seygem Asset Management Is Short (EEM); Seygem Asset Management Owns (EEV)
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