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Current DateTime: 11:36:01 25 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30328029

CNBC Stock Blog

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Dec.26
10:16 AM ET
Friday, 26 Dec 2008
Retail Analyst: Discounter Stocks Rule

Shoppers headed back to the malls on the day after Christmas in what's shaping up as a second Black Friday for retailers.  So which retail stocks look the most promising — in the midst of a particularly unpromising holiday shopping season?

"Equity analysts have to become credit analysts," Telsey Research Group's chief research officer Dana Telsey told CNBC. "The balance sheet has become so much more important."

"The stocks are at bargain prices," she said.  "Valuations — in the old days, 20 times was the high P/E multiple on forward earnings; 13 was the low; now, 13 is the high and six is the low."

Recommendations:

So whom is Telsey recommending?

"The discounters are going to continue to win," she said. "The Walmarts [WMT  Loading...      ()   ], the Dollar Trees [DLTR  Loading...      ()   ] of the world; on the specialty-store side, it's still Deckers [DECK  Loading...      ()   ] that's doing the best."

Where does she see improvement?

The children's-wear retailers like Children's Place [PLCE  Loading...      ()   ], they're the ones that are gaining steam, because they'll gain some operating margin improvement," she said.

Disclosures:

Disclosure information for Dana Telsey was not immediately available.

Disclaimer

© 2009 CNBC.com

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Current DateTime: 10:38:03 25 Nov 2009
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