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Charts Predict: Oil Heading towards $17

CNBC.com
Friday, 16 Jan 2009 | 9:49 AM ET

The price of a barrel of oil could slump toward $25 and even lower as the economy continues to falter, Phil Roberts, technical analyst from Barclays Capital, told CNBC Friday.

Oil Chart Still Bearish
The Nymex crude oil chart is still giving bearish signals and the implications are that the downward move is not over, Phil Roberts from Barclays Capital told CNBC Thursday.

“We're still getting bearish signals, the implication is - this move's not over,” Roberts said.

Roberts' near-term view for the oil price is $29, but his “slightly longer-term” outlook is for $25 a barrel or lower.

“In the first quarter of 2009, you're in to the final phase of the down leg in the business cycle. So what we’re looking for is this to slow, the downtrend to slow. Where it's going to stop – best guess would be maybe between $17 and $25 a barrel,” he said.

Roberts said he would even be wary of buying at $17 a barrel.

“The downside risks are still very much there and this trend, you've got to respect it,” he said. “The deflationary cycle is still in play,” he added.

(Watch the full CNBC interview with Phil Roberts above).

For the Investor:

Pros Say: The 4 Huge Financials Dangers of '09Market Tips: No '09 Recovery, So Go Long

Contact Europe: Economy

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