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Current DateTime: 01:48:06 05 Feb 2009
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Current DateTime: 01:48:06 05 Feb 2009
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GE's Credit Rating, Dividend Are at Risk: Analysts
By: Reuters | 21 Jan 2009 | 03:55 PM ET
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Analysts fear blue chip General Electric's credit rating may be at risk and that the diversified manufacturer may have to cut its dividend, as a pall of gloom gathers over economies across the globe. 

GE

GE shares [GE  Loading...      ()   ] fell below $13, their lowest in more than 10 years, before recovering some of their losses to trade down 3 percent in afternoon trade on the New York Stock Exchange.

GE is the parent company of CNBC.

UBS placed a "short-term sell" rating on the stock and removed it from the strategic stock selection list, saying the company might have to raise additional capital.

Goldman Sachs said GE shares were already discounting substantial bad news with its options pricing implying a 50 percent dividend cut in 2010.

"We think industrial cash flow can sustain the dividend in 2009, but acknowledge that an infrastructure rollover in 2010 beyond our forecast could place the dividend and "AAA" rating at risk," Goldman said in a note to clients.

GE officials have repeatedly said that keeping the "AAA" rating, which allows the company to borrow money more cheaply, is a top priority.

Goldman Sachs also cut its price target on the stock by $2 to $15, and lowered its profit forecast for the company through 2010 on concerns of higher losses at its GE Capital arm.

GE Capital was created last July, when the company merged its commercial and consumer finance arms to focus on three regional centers in Europe, Asia and the Americas.

Its performance has dragged down the U.S. conglomerate's results in recent quarters because of the global credit crunch.

Goldman lowered its fourth-quarter 2008 estimates for the company to 36 cents a share from 45 cents a share. The brokerage cut its 2009 profit forecast for GE by 5 cents to $1.35 a share.

It also pegged the company's 2010 earnings at $1.30 a share, down from its prior estimate of $1.40 a share.

The brokerage, however, maintained its "neutral" rating on the stock.

Shares of the company have been battered over the past year, falling 62 percent, compared with a 46 percent decline of the Standard & Poor's capital-goods industry index .

Copyright 2009 Reuters. Click for restrictions.
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