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Current DateTime: 01:58:04 20 Feb 2009
LinksList Documentid: 24355697

Current DateTime: 01:58:04 20 Feb 2009
LinksList Documentid: 24890560
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Home Prices Plunge Record 18 Percent in November
By: CNBC.com with wires | 27 Jan 2009 | 02:33 PM ET
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U.S. home prices plunged a record 18.2 percent in November from a year earlier as the country's housing market remains in the throes of a deep recession, according to an index from Standard & Poor's.

Prices in 20 metropolitan areas tracked by S&P fell 2.2 percent from October as housing continues to suffer from a huge supply of unsold homes, tighter lending standards and record foreclosures.
Home prices continuing to drop.
AP / AP
Home prices continuing to drop.

The drop in prices on a month-over-month basis was slightly steeper than expectations, based on a Reuters survey of economists.

However, the annual rate of decline for the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller composite index for 20 cities was not as steep as economists had expected.

S&P said its composite index of 10 metropolitan areas also fell 2.2 percent in November from October for a 19.1 percent year-over-year drop, matching the previous month's record decline.

Prices in 11 metro areas fell at record rates from a year earlier. Prices in 14 cities fell more than 10 percent from November 2007.

"The free-fall in residential real estate continued through November 2008," David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's, said in a statement. "Since August 2006, the 10-city and 20-city composites have declined every month—a total of 28 consecutive months."

Video: Watch S&P's Blitzer talk about home prices.

Those looking for any type of optimism from the numbers noted that the month-over-month drop was only slight.

"We're now sort of looking the storm right in the eye and if the numbers didn't completely fall off a cliff but pretty much followed the same pattern as October, that's not a silver lining but at least it's a bit of a relief," Blitzer said on CNBC.

Difficulty in obtaining a mortgage for many borrowes remains a major obstacle to a housing recovery, Blitzer added.

"The requirements to qualify for a mortgage have tightened significantly," he added. "The horses are out of the barn so we're going to lock the barn up with nine padlocks. Nobody wants to make mortgage lending free and easy given our experience, but it's probably going to be an impediment going forward."

Prices in every region fell more than 1 percent from October. In eight metro areas, prices fell at a record monthly rate, Blitzer said.

Phoenix and Las Vegas were hardest hit in November, with prices down 3.4 percent and 3.3 percent, respectively. The two cities also have the worst returns over the one-year period, with prices falling 32.9 percent and 31.6 percent, respectively.

"Overall, more than half of the metro areas had record annual declines," he said. As of November, average home prices are at similar levels to what they were in the first quarter of 2004.

From their peak in mid-2006, the 10-city index is down 26.6 percent and the 20-city Composite is down 25.1 percent.

The battered U.S. housing market is critical to the U.S. economy, with a wide-ranging impact from the construction industry to the sale of appliances and furniture.

After hurting growth for multiple quarters, a continued deterioration could prolong a turnaround for the world's largest economy, which has been in a recession since late 2007.

Real estate experts weren't ready to say the market had reached a turning point, though they said the recent uptick in trend is a positive sign.

"I wouldn't be so optimistic or exuberant to cal it the beginning of a turnaround," said Diane Saatchi, senior vice president at Corcoran Real Estate in East Hampton, N.Y. "Real estate moves really slowly, but it's certainly different than it has been for the past seven or eight months."

While buyers are still reluctant to jump in with both feet, Saatchi said there is some improvement in sentiment as credit eases a bit, money becomes more available and prices meet market expectations.

"Human nature is a funny kind of thing. As much as anyone realizes you can't wait for the bottom of the market, they're instincts are they don't really believe it's the bottom until it starts going up again," she said. "A lot of people keep waiting. I know it's a silly thing to do, but people kind of follow the crowd."

© 2009 CNBC
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