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If you’re an investor who feels like nothing’s working, don’t despair. Fast Money has uncovered a trend that’s thriving despite the deep recession.
Although the worst economy since the Great Depression has dragged down real estate and retail, it’s actually creating growth in certain areas. And like the 1930’s few areas are benefiting more than entertainment.
But we’re not talking just any old kind of entertainment – we’re talking digital delivery. It seems these days people want their entertainment delivered -- directly to their desktops and laptops. And a handful of companies are trying to get ahead of that curve.
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Netflix
If you think Netflix [NFLX
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] is going the way of the 8-track tape, think again. Netflix is riding the digital wave by streaming its monster catalogue directly to your PC or game console.
And the technology is getting very popular – very quickly. When the firm announced earnings in January Netflix said, “about one-fifth of the company's nearly 10 million subscribers used its "Watch Instantly" service that lets them stream movies and TV shows to laptops or TVs.”
The trend sent profit up a surprising 45%. "It's very clear that streaming is energizing our growth," says Netflix Chief Executive Reed Hastings.
“This company is a great play,” Citigroup analyst Mark Mahaney tells the Fast Money traders. “This is a great way to play digital video delivery over the next 3- 5 years.”
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Amazon
On Monday Amazon [AMZN
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] unveiled its Kindle 2. If you’ve never heard of it – don’t worry. It was a niche thing until Oprah called it her favorite gadget back in October. Then, sales went through the roof. Now, some say it may overtake the iPhone as the next cult contraption.
Essentially Kindle is a digital reader that holds up to 1,500 books and newspapers and includes a "talk to me" feature that reads to you aloud.
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos says that Kindle orders were strong around the holidays and that he expects that to continue despite the economy. ""Even in this environment, people are buying Kindles," Bezos says.
Amazon has carefully guarded key details, including how many Kindles have sold since they debuted late in 2007. Mark Mahaney, a self-proclaimed Kindle bull, estimates Amazon sold a half million last year and tells Fast Money that the Kindle is on track to become a $1.2 billion business for Amazon by 2010.
However, Mahaney also says don’t get ahead of the trend. He doesn’t see a trade here for the next couple of quarters.
Other Trades
If you’re looking for other trades Mahaney has a buy on Akamai [AKAM
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]. “It is partially a play off digital video. That stuff has to be delivered by somebody and Akamai is one of the companies that’s going to deliver it."
Also Mahaney recommends long positions in Google [GOOG
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] and Priceline [PCLN
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].
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Trader disclosure: On Feb. 9th, 2008, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Seymour Owns (MT), (BAC), (EEM), (FCX), (VIP), (BIDU); Seymour's Firm Owns (VIP); Macke Owns (MOS), (TM), (SDS), (AAPL), (BAC), (DIS); Najarian Owns (FCX) & (FCX) Calls; Najarian Owns (MT) Calls, (GS) Calls; Najarian Owns (MSFT) & (MSFT) Short Calls; Najarian Owns (MS) & (MS) Short Calls; Najarian Owns (CAT) Call Spread, (ENER) Call Spread, (EEM) Call Spread, (GDX) Call Spread, (MOS) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (GE) Puts; Finerman's Firm Owns (MSFT), (PM), (RIG); Finerman's Firm Owns (DNA) & (DNA) Calls; Finerman's Firm Is Short (IYR), (IJR), (IWM), (MDY), (SPY), (USO)
For Mark Mahaney:
Citigroup Received Compensation From (AMZN)
Cititroup Has Had (AMZN) As A Client In The Past 12 Months
Citigroup Is A Market Maker In The Shares Of (AMZN)
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