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Fed's new money policy: 'Wait and see' After forcing interest rates to near zero and buying billions of dollars worth of bad mortgages, the Federal Reserve has anew policy. Call it 'wait and see.' |
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Economic slowdown in China and a 'bogus' Bain war A slowdown in the Chinese economy could have rippled effects across the globe, Columbia University's Dr. Jeffrey Sachs tells Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski. Sachs, fresh from a trip to China, discusses the country's economy. Bloomberg Businessweek's Josh Green join the conversation to discuss his latest piece on the president's attacks on Bain Capital. |
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Big banks get ready for government stress tests
WASHINGTON - While the Obama administration begins conducting “stress tests” on the nation’s biggest banks Wednesday to judge whether they can hold up if the recession were to worsen, there was fresh evidence of a weakening housing market.
According to a report released Wednesday morning, sales of existing homes fell unexpectedly last month to the lowest level in nearly 12 years.
Banking regulators plan to scrutinize the financial conditions of Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and more than a dozen other institutions that have received billions from the Treasury Department’s $700 billion bailout pot.
The tests will help regulators decide whether the banks have sufficient capital — and the right mix of it — to withstand any additional shocks to the economy over the next two years.
The tests also will help regulators decide whether the banks may need additional assistance so that they can carry out the critical mission of boosting lending to customers, a key ingredient to the economic turnaround.
On the housing front, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday that sales of existing homes fell 5.3 percent to an annual rate of 4.49 million last month, from 4.74 million units in December. It was the weakest showing since July 1997 and well below the slight rise in sales that economists expected.
The median sales price plunged to $170,300, from $199,800 a year earlier. That was the lowest price since March 2003 and the second-largest drop on record.
Wall Street slumped on the news. The Dow Jones industrial average, which had been down about 85 ahead of the report, lost about 120 points in midday trading.
And home prices are expected to keep falling this year. That has whittled away Americans’ single-biggest asset and figured prominently in consumers’ decisions to cut back spending, which has sorely hurt the economy.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is on Capitol Hill for the second straight day, facing tough questions about the government’s controversial bank-rescue efforts.
Without those moves, the U.S. recession would have been even deeper, Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee. The U.S. and other countries came “very close to a global financial meltdown” in September and October — when the financial crisis intensified, he said.
Testifying before a Senate panel on Tuesday, Bernanke calmed investor fears that the government was heading down a path of nationalizing troubled banks and Wall Street rallied a day after hitting 12-year lows.
“We’ve always worked with banks to make sure that they’re healthy and stable, and we’re going to work with them. I don’t see any reason to destroy the franchise value or to create the huge legal uncertainties of trying to formally nationalize the bank when it just isn’t necessary,” Bernanke told senators on Tuesday.
“The outcome of the stress test is not going to be fail or pass,” added Bernanke, whose agency is the primary regulator for many of the country’s largest banks. “The outcome of the stress test is, how much capital does this bank need in order to meet the credit needs of borrowers in our economy?”
Critics worry the government’s rescue actions have the potential to put ever-more taxpayers’ dollars at risk and encourage “moral hazard,” where companies feel more comfortable making high-stakes gambles because the government will bail them out.
It’s all troubling to Stan Eden, 48, of Miami.
“If you can’t perform, you move to the side,” Eden said of companies seeking bailouts. “All the greed and deceit has overtaken common sense in the decision-making process in the country.”
On the economic front, Bernanke told lawmakers that the economy was suffering through a “severe contraction.” But he planted a seed of hope that the recession might end this year if the government managed to prop up the shaky banking system.
Speaking to Congress Tuesday evening, President Barack Obama said more money would be needed to rescue troubled banks beyond the $700 billion already committed last year. Saying he understands bank bailouts are unpopular, he insisted it was the only way to get credit moving again to households and businesses. He also called on Congress to move quickly on legislation to overhaul regulations on the nation’s financial markets.
Bernanke says the economy is likely to keep shrinking in the first six months of this year after posting its worst slide in a quarter-century at the end of 2008.
However, the Fed chief is hopeful the recession will end this year, but there were significant risks to that forecast. Any economic turnaround will hinge on the success of the Fed and the Obama administration in getting credit and financial markets to operate more normally again.
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