Skip navigation
MOST POPULAR RELATED TAGS
  • TOPICS
  • SECTORS
  • COMPANIES

MAD MONEY FEATURES

Podcasts PODCASTS
Watch the Lightning Round whenever and wherever you want.




Widget OFFICIAL MAD MONEY WIDGET
Grab this all-in-one application and get recaps of the show sent right to your desktop or blog.




Soundboard CRAMER'S SOUNDBOARD
Admit it: You’ve always wanted to hit the “They know nothing!” button. Here’s your chance.




Mad Money PhotosCRAMER QUICK PICS
Check out the Mad Money host on set, back to school, behind the scenes and more.




Mad Money VideosVIDEOS
Get all your favorite Cramer clips right here.





ShopSHOP FOR MAD MERCHANDISE
Buy Cramer books, bobbleheads and other Mad Money merchandise.




Ringtones RING TONES
Pick up the phone! It’s Cramer! New Mad Money sounds for your cell phone.




Mobile AlertTEXT MESSAGE ALERT
Mad Money’s mobile. Get show highlights sent to your phone.




Text Size
Mar.19
9:09 PM ET
Thursday, 19 Mar 2009
Sell Block: Dividends You Can’t Trust

Cramer has urged viewers to seek out high-yielding dividends because they offer protection in a volatile market. As share prices fall, yields go higher, putting cash in investors’ pockets at a time when they might otherwise have been losing money. Also, bigger yields attract more buyers. When they pour into the stock, the share price climbs back up. So it’s a double positive.

But not all dividends are equal. Some, as Cramer likes to paraphrase George Orwell’s Animal Farm, are more equal than others. So investors can’t just jump at any attractive-looking yield without first knowing the backstory. Often times that share price has come down for legitimate reasons. Maybe the company is in serious trouble. If that’s the case, a dividend cut is more likely than a payout.

Cramer has been teaching viewers how to spot these unsafe dividends. Last week he pointed to trouble at Alcoa [AA  Loading...      ()   ], which seemed to indicate a cut was imminent. Well, on Monday the company did just that. Even worse: Alcoa held a dilutive offering that raised $1.3 billion through convertible notes and 150 million common shares at $5.25. Apparently the money saved by the dividend cut just wasn’t enough to cover Alcoa’s debts.

This week Kimco Realty [KIM  Loading...      ()   ] and Prologis [PLD  Loading...      ()   ] got the royal treatment. Both offer double-digit yields that at first glance look great, but in the end didn’t hold up against Cramer’s analysis.

Kimco’s a shopping center REIT, paying out 19%. Of course, that’s because the stock has dropped to $9 from $47. The company lost $51.5 million just in the fourth quarter alone, and management said a dividend cut was likely by year’s end. Cramer expects that cut to be sizable.

Here’s why: Kimco needs money to cover the $200 million in company bonds coming due in the next year. And a Credit Suisse analyst said the company would need to raise about $1 billion in equity to pay down debt just to make the stock investable. Cramer likens this situation to Alcoa’s, where a dilutive offering followed a dividend cut. So who’d want to be in this stock then?

Even those measures might not be enough to save Kimco. General Growth Properties, a similar REIT, raised $822 million but still faces bankruptcy. When you add on a 10-year high in retail vacancies, it’s easy to see why Cramer doesn’t think Kimco is worth the risk.

Prologis, a warehouse and distribution REIT, yields 13% but already cut its quarterly dividend in February to 25 cents a share from 51.75 cents. The company also said it might have to pay at least some of its dividend in stock, which is the last thing investors want right now. Prologis has $260 million in bonds coming due by August, and its European division is trying to refinance $1.3 billion in debt that comes due next year. In fact, this Euro business already cut its dividend entirely. The final punch was Standard & Poor’s credit-rating downgrade to BBB-, with an expectation to eventually bring the rating all the way to junk status. (Not that Cramer puts much stock in ratings agencies these days. But hey, junk is junk.)

With the outlook so grim for both Kimco and Prologis, Cramer put these companies in the Sell Block.



Questions for Cramer?

Questions, comments, suggestions for the Mad Money website?

© 2009 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Tools:
PrintEmailAdd This share icon
Next Post
  • digg share
ADD COMMENTS
Remaining characters


Current DateTime: 01:40:19 11 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29778428

Current DateTime: 01:06:01 11 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779196

Current DateTime: 02:13:25 11 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779199

Current DateTime: 01:06:01 11 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779198
  Data is a real-time snapshot  *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes
Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis

© 2009 CNBC, Inc.  All Rights Reserved.
A Division of NBC Universal
Thomson ReutersThomson Reuters