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Oil Settles Near $51 as Stocks Little Changed
By: Reuters | 20 Mar 2009 | 04:01 PM ET
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Oil fell slightly in choppy trade Friday as stock markets seesawed and the April contract headed toward expiry.

U.S. stocks were little changed Friday as financial shares fell after the tepid debut of a Federal Reserve measure to revive lending.

Oil had surged 7 percent Thursday after the Fed announced its plan to buy long-term government debt and the dollar tumbled in value.

The lower dollar supports dollar-denomianted oil, but a dollar bounce on Friday was seen pressuring crude.

U.S. light, sweet crude [US@CL.1  Loading...      ()] fell 55 cents to settle at $51.06 a barrel. London Brent crude [GB@IB.1  Loading...      ()] traded higher.

"The sentiment that the economy may improve and that the Fed's moves may be inflationary has crude trying to put in a base above $50 after breaking out of its recent range,'' said Gene McGillian, an analyst at Tradition Energy in Connecticut.

Oil has tumbled $100 dollars from highs above $147 a barrel last July, as the global economic crash has shrunk demand for the fuel.

Demand Crunch

Bank of America [BAC  Loading...      ()] Securities-Merrill Lynch raised its 2009 oil price forecast to $52 a barrel from $50, but cut its 2010 outlook to $62 a barrel from $70, citing weak demand.

The International Monetary Fund forecast on Thursday the world economy would contract in 2009 for the first time since World War Two by between 0.5 percent and 1.0 percent.

For Investors:

Crude stockpiles have swelled in the United States with energy demand still weak, and some analysts cautioned it may be difficult for oil prices to sustain the recent rally.

"We may have further to fall. We've got a lot of excess capacity right now and until we increase the spot price, flatten the contango and bring in that floating storage, it's going to be tough,'' said Simon Wardell, oil analyst at Global Insight.

Oil tanker shipping company Frontline said on Friday there are around 40 very large crude carriers storing oil offshore, each with a capacity of around 2 million barrels - a combined potential of one full day's worth of global oil supplies.

Copyright 2009 Reuters. Click for restrictions.
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