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Will the bullish momentum in stocks continue or is it a head fake into the next leg down? It’s the question at the forefront of every investment decision being made right now.
And considering there are so many variables including a potentially lethal jobs number out Friday it’s a touchy question to tackle.
We thought now would be a good time to turn to the charts and get the latest insights from one of the top technical analysts out there – Oppenheimer’s Carter Worth.
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Worth tells us he’s closely watching the 150-day moving average on the S&P which he calls the smoothing mechanism. “When the smoothing mechanism flattens by definition the market will be in the throws of a bearish to bullish reversal.”
And he thinks this one technical indicator could speak volumes to investors. “In fact of the last 11 bear markets of the post-War period if you just waited for that alone you would have been at or near the lows when you committed capital.”
So now the trillion dollar question. When will the 150-day moving average flatten on the S&P?
According to Worth, not long from now. Looking at patterns he concludes, “the moving average should go flat in the next 3-4 weeks. “
In other words the S&P could begin a bearish to bullish reversal as soon as early May!
And in case you’re wondering Worth is also seeing this same kind of pattern in stocks – that is a bearish to bullish reversal pattern.
Those patterns seem prominent in the charts of NVDIA [NVDA
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], Qwest [Q
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], and First Horizon [FHN
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] – “all different business but the principle is the same. The smoothing mechanism is ultimately flattening and the stocks are bottoming.”
You can see our entire interview with Carter Worth in the video above.
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Trader disclosure: On Apr 2nd, 2009, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Macke Owns (WFC), (AAPL), (GE), (GS), (MOS), (WMT); Adami Owns (AGU), (C), (GS), (INTC), (MSFT), (NUE), (BTU); Kinahan Owns (AA), (BAC), (C), (MSFT), (YHOO); Finerman's Firm Is Short (IJR), (MDY), (SPY), (USO), (IWM), (BAC), (BBT), (WFC); Finerman's Firm Owns (MSFT), (PBR), (RIG), (AXYS), (SRS); Finerman's Firm Owns (WFC) Preferred, (BAC) Preferred, (BAC) Preferred




