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Why a Pony? To be clear, there were no ponies harmed in the making of this blog. The blog’s name, “There Must Be a Pony In Here Somewhere,” comes from an old joke, a favorite of Ronald Reagan’s, that essentially means, with a pile of you-know-what this big, there MUST be a pony—a bright side—in here somewhere!

There Must Be A Pony In Here Somewhere
Enough With the 'Green Shoots!' Time for a New Term
“I’d suggest using a bad news/good news index instead — this would be a significance-weighted index of the ratio between the bad news and the good news over time,” Cohan suggested.
Tony Crescenzi of Miller Tabak suggests “troughs” as the new “green shoots."
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“A trough more closely defines what has happened, because in the analogy of the plant, the trough occurs below the ground—there is no green shoot yet,” Crescenzi explains. “What we have seen is a slowing in the growth of the ‘recession,’ the hole in the ground. A green shoot only occurs when recovery takes hold—which it hasn't—the plant has not taken root; only the seed has.”
Brusca also stays with the gardening theme.
“There may be some piles of brown fertilizer to help things get going, once they germinate. But the green shoots have not poked though yet,” Brusca said, citing the fact that the ISM manufacturing gauge is still below 50, jobs are still receding and that spurt of consumer spending fizzled.
Kaczuwka takes her metaphor down the street to Starbucks. [SBUX
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“My [economic] indicator is the number of people in front of me in line at Starbucks,” Kaczuwka said. “It hasn't been greater than 1 in quite a while.”
OK, so quick recap. That’s:
- Better good-bad ratio
- More holes in the ground
- Economic fertilizer
- Pickup in the Starbucks line
Think one of these works as a substitution for green shoots? Or, think you've got something better? Send your suggestions to . We'll publish the best ones and vote on them.
Ready ... Aim ... Shoot!
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- The Economy's Other Green Shoots: A Gardening Boom
- Are Bulldozers Now the Best Neighbor?
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