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Director of Market Data & Content Services
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AP |
Here are the historical averages for the markets and volatility on those days. More often than not, quad-witching days have been slightly positive for the markets. They are, however, more volatile.
Dow [.DJIA
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] on quadruple-witching days:
- Avg gain of 0.4%
- Up 65% of the time
- Biggest gain on 9/19/08 - up + 3.3%
- Biggest loss on 6/20/08 - down - 1.8%
S&P 500 [.SPX
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] on quadruple-witching days:
- Avg gain of 0.3%
- Up 62% of the time
- Biggest gain on 9/19/08 - up + 4.0%
- Biggest loss on 3/20/09 - down - 2.0%
NASDAQ [COMP
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] on quadruple-witching days:
- Avg gain of 0.22%
- Up 58% of the time
- Biggest gain on 9/19/08 - up + 3.4%
- Biggest loss on 6/20/08 - down - 2.3%
VIX [VIX
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] on quadruple-witching days:
- Avg fall of -1.5%
- Up 42% of the time
- Biggest gain on 6/16/06 - up + 8.5%
- Biggest loss on 12/20/02 - down - 11.6%
In fact, futures are pointing up this morning. Leading the Dow in the premarket are Alcoa [AA
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], Bank of America [BAC
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], General Electric [GE
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], JP Morgan Chase [JPM
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], and Pfizer [PFE
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].
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Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes