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Q2 Earnings: Alcoa By the Numbers
Published:
Wednesday, 8 Jul 2009 | 11:13 AM ET
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By: Ariel Nelson, Matt Nesto
With the official start of earnings season kicking off after the bell today, here are some stats on Alcoa [.DJIA
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] and the rest of the Dow.
EPS in the past 12 Quarters...
- Alcoa
- missed estimates 50% of the time
- beat estimates 42% of the time
- met estimates 8% of the time
- Compared to current Dow 30
- missed 19% of the time
- beat 70% of the time
- met 11% of the time
Best earnings track records of the Dow 30:
JNJ - Beat 100% of time in the past 12 qtrs
CSCO, IBM, JPM, KO, TRV, UTX - All beat 92% of time in the past 12 qtrs
Worst track records of the Dow 30:
T - Only beat 33% of time in the past 12 qtrs
AA, CAT - Only beat 42% of time in the past 12 qtrs
More on Alcoa:
- Q2 is forecast to be 3rd consecutive losing quarter @ -$0.38/sh, $3.9b Rev Est -48% y/y
- Q3 Q4 FY also currently forecast to be losers
- Smallest member (by market cap) of the Dow Industrials @ $9.1b
- 1/2 the size of #29 Caterpillar
- 1/35 the size of Exxon
- Smallest weighting in Dow @ ~0.9% based on $9.60 share price
- HOT and COLD
- "Top 5" Performer Since March Trough +79%
- "Bottom 5" Performer Past 4 weeks -13%
- Dead Last 1 Yr -73%
- Since Q1 Results 4/7/09
- Alcoa +21%
- Dow Industrials +5.5%
- Largest Short Interest in Dow at 7.7% of float
- Top 3 Shareholders, as of Q1 filings
- Capital Group 8.5%
- State Street 4.2%
- Fidelity 3.2%
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Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes