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Current DateTime: 05:40:30 29 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 23371764
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Current DateTime: 05:40:30 29 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30111251
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Q2 Earnings:  Alcoa By the Numbers
Published: Wednesday, 8 Jul 2009 | 11:13 AM ET
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With the official start of earnings season kicking off after the bell today, here are some stats on Alcoa [.DJIA  Loading...      ()   ] and the rest of the Dow.

EPS in the past 12 Quarters...

  • Alcoa
    • missed estimates 50% of the time
    • beat estimates 42% of the time
    • met estimates 8% of the time
  • Compared to current Dow 30
    • missed 19% of the time
    • beat 70% of the time
    • met 11% of the time

Best earnings track records of the Dow 30:
JNJ - Beat 100% of time in the past 12 qtrs
CSCO, IBM, JPM, KO, TRV, UTX - All beat 92% of time in the past 12 qtrs

Worst track records of the Dow 30:
T - Only beat 33% of time in the past 12 qtrs
AA, CAT - Only beat 42% of time in the past 12 qtrs

More on Alcoa:

  • Q2 is forecast to be 3rd consecutive losing quarter @ -$0.38/sh, $3.9b Rev Est -48% y/y
  • Q3 Q4 FY also currently forecast to be losers
  • Smallest member (by market cap) of the Dow Industrials @ $9.1b
    • 1/2 the size of #29 Caterpillar
    • 1/35 the size of Exxon
  • Smallest weighting in Dow @ ~0.9% based on $9.60 share price
  • HOT and COLD
    • "Top 5" Performer Since March Trough +79%
    • "Bottom 5" Performer Past 4 weeks -13%
    • Dead Last 1 Yr -73%
  • Since Q1 Results 4/7/09
    • Alcoa +21%
    • Dow Industrials +5.5%
  • Largest Short Interest in Dow at 7.7% of float
  • Top 3 Shareholders, as of Q1 filings
    • Capital Group 8.5%
    • State Street 4.2%
    • Fidelity 3.2%

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Current DateTime: 01:01:45 29 Nov 2009
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