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Yesterday's rally was the biggest for the markets in over a month. Will the Dow
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], S&P [.SPX
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], and Nasdaq [COMP
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] continue up today?
Historically, the major indices are up just over 50% of the time on Tuesdays. However, after a Monday when the Dow was up over 2%, the markets are mixed the next day. The Dow seems to sell off the next day, down 55% of the time, with an average loss of -0.95% when down. The S&P and NASDAQ, on the other hand, tend to extend their gains, both up 60% of Tuesdays following a big Monday with average gains over 1% when up.
July 14th in Market History:
Dow (Since 1896) :
- Avg Gain/Loss: +0.18%
- Up 65% of the time with an average gain of 0.68% when up
- Down 35% of the time with an average loss of 0.74% when down
- Standard Deviation: .99
- Biggest Gain: +4.16% in 1930
- Biggest Loss: -3.63% in 1896
S&P 500 (Since 1928) :
- Avg Gain/Loss: +0.2%
- Up 69.6% of the time with an average gain of 0.6% when up
- Down 30.4% of the time with an average loss of 0.73% when down
- Standard Deviation: .82
- Biggest Gain: +2.92% in 1930
- Biggest Loss: -1.7% in 1986
Nasdaq Composite (Since 1971):
- Avg Gain/Loss: 0.31%
- Up 73.08% of the time with an average gain of 0.72% when up
- Down 26.92% of the time with an average loss of 0.79% when down
- Standard Deviation: .84
- Biggest Gain: +1.71% in 2000
- Biggest Loss: -1.72% in 1986
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Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes