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Current DateTime: 12:20:51 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30328029
Art Cashin: '30% Chance of Sudden Reversal'
Published: Wednesday, 22 Jul 2009 | 12:19 PM ET
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By: CNBC.com

Amid choppy earnings, is the rally running out of steam?

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, offered CNBC his stock-market insights Wednesday.

Caterpillar on Tuesday had reported a sweet upside surprise of 50 cents per share — yet its shares are down. Why?

Cashin said that among some traders, "there is a concern" about the global construction giant's numbers being misleading.

"The Caterpillar results weren't quite the unalloyed joy they appeared to be. I think the company is a little stretched."

He said the firm was buoyed by Chinese stimulus money — and so faces an uncertain future.

Crunching such ostensibly false hope with the uncertainty of bank earnings, Cashin maintains his stance on the current rally: "We'll know by the end of this week" whether there will be a minor pullback or a hard correction.

"I'd say there was a 30 percent chance of a sudden reversal."

What do the "super-rally," Bill Gross, "head-and-shoulders" formation and Pres. Harry S Truman have in common? Cashin talks them up in the full interview.

More from Art Cashin:

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CNBC Slideshows:

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CNBC's Companies in the News:

Bank of America [BAC  Loading...      ()   ]

General Electric*   [GE  Loading...      ()   ]

Caterpillar [CAT  Loading...      ()   ]

Wells Fargo [WFC  Loading...      ()   ]

Morgan Stanley [MS  Loading...      ()   ]

* General Electric is the parent company of CNBC.

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Disclosures:

Disclosure information was not available for Cashin or his company.

Disclaimer

© 2009 CNBC.com
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