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Fast Money HomeFast Money Rapid RecapAbout Fast MoneyFast Money BiosFast Money Web ExtraFast Money Disclaimer
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Jul.31
5:34 PM ET
Friday, 31 Jul 2009
What Will Cisco Reveal About Economy?

Entry Point

Investors are eager to hear from Cisco [CSCO  Loading...      ()   ] on Wednesday. The maker of routers and networking gear is widely considered a barometer for corporate tech spending.

According to the Wall Street Journal, “Cisco is expected to post an 18% drop in sales…but investors hope that results will offer signs that the deep slump is coming to an end.”

What the analysts say:

On average analysts expect Cisco to report fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $8.49 billion, down 18 percent from a year earlier but up 4 percent from the previous quarter, according to Reuters Estimates.

(CSCO)
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Noteworthy Upgrades

Earlier in the month, Baird upgraded Cisco to "outperform" from "neutral" on an improving demand outlook and promising new product cycles. Analyst Kenneth Muth said he believes there is more upside than downside risk and raised his price target to $26 from $20.

Also, Credit-Suisse analyst Paul Silverstein raised his rating from “Neutral” to “Outperform,” earlier in the month and increased his price target to $25 from $22.

Even the more cautious analysts see long-term demand for switches and routers, remaining solid.

Increasing use of the Web for downloading videos, uploading photos to share with friends, and the shift of more business processes like accounting and sales to online systems, mean both large companies and phone carriers will continue upgrading their networks in the long term, they said.

Heading into earnings, what’s the trade?

You’ve got to make a decision whether you like the market or not to trade this stock, counsels Guy Adami.

If you think the S&P is heading higher, then Cisco valuations are fair, he explains. However, if you think the market pulls back then Cisco is probably ahead of itself and I'd get out.

What do you think? We want to know!

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