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Our market specialists dig deep into Wall Street’s daily metrics, crunching the numbers to help you become smarter about the market so that you can make better investment decisions. By The Numbers details the daily drama, the winners and losers, how the day stacks up historically, and how the numbers can offer a glimpse of the future.
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Fasten Your Seatbelts - Here Comes September!
Always remember, sell in September? Will the summer rally persist? Historically, September ranks as the worst month on average for all three major US indexes.
- Avg down days for the Dow [.DJIA
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] and S&P [.SPX
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] outnumber avg up days nearly 3 to 1 - Numbers get worse following up Augusts
September - Market Stats: (US Indexes)
Dow: (Since 1896)
- On average the Dow has declined -1.2% in September
- Worst month on average overall
- On a day-by-day basis, the Dow has been down 22 days out of the 30 days in September
- On average, the Dow has dropped -2.13% in September, when following an up August
- Up 41.1% of the time in September, average gains of 3.8% when up
- Down 58.9% of the time in September, average loss of -4.7%, when down
- The biggest September gain was in 1896, when the Dow finished up 12.8%
- The biggest September loss was in 1931, when the Dow finished down -30.7%
S&P: (Since 1928)
- On average the S&P has declined -1.3% in September
- Worst month on average overall
- On a day-by-day basis, the S&P has been down 22 days out of the 30 days in September
- On average, the S&P has dropped -1.8% in September, when following an up August
- Up 43.2% of the time in September, average gains of 3.2% when up
- Down 55.6% of the time in September, average loss of -4.8% when down
- Flat in September 1979
- The biggest September gain was in 1939, when the S&P finished up 14.4%
- The biggest September loss was in 1931, when the S&P finished down -30.5%
Nasdaq Composite: (Since 1971)
- On average the Nasdaq has declined -1.0% in September
- Worst month on average overall
- On a day-by-day basis, the Nasdaq has been down 17 days out of the 30 days in September
- On average, the Nasdaq has dropped -1.5% in September, when following an up August
- Up 52.6% of the time, average gains of 3.5% when up in September
- Down 47.4% of the time, average loss of -6.05% when down in September
- The biggest September gain was in 1998, when the Nasdaq finished up 13%
- The biggest September loss was in 2001, when the Nasdaq finished down -17%
CBOE Volatility Index VIX - September stats: (Since 1986)
- On average the VIX has increased 8.2% in September, ranking as the #2 most volatile month. October ranks #1 with avg. gains of 13.7%
- Up 56.5% of the time in September, average gains of 21.3% when up
- Down 43.5% of the time in September, average loss of -8.7% when down
- The most volatile September was in 2008 when the VIX rose 90.8% for the month
- The least volatile September was in 2007 when the VIX fell -23.01% for the month
- The VIX has closed above 30 in September 70 times
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