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Quarter & Month End Preview: Winners and Losers

As we approach another quarter and month end, with just four days to go, the Dow is on track for its best third quarter since the 1939, the S&P is on course for its biggest 3Q gains since 1970, and the Nasdaq Composite is having its best Q3 since 1997, based on September 24 closing levels. Will the markets continue to hold on to gains or sell off by the end of the year?

Here is a preview of how the major indexes stack up versus prior quarters, months, and years. Also see below for Top 10 winning & losing stocks for the quarter so far.

Q3 2009:
-The Dow is currently up 1260.44 points or 14.92% for the quarter
-The NASDAQ Composite is currently up 272.57 points or 14.85% for the quarter
-The S&P 500 is currently up 131.46 points or 14.3% for the quarter

  • The Dow is on track for its best quarter since Q4 1998 when it gained 17.1%, its biggest Q3 gain since 1939 when it gained 14.95%
  • The S&P is on track for its best quarter since Q2 2009 when it gained 15.22%, its biggest Q3 gain since 1970 when it gained 15.8%
  • The Nasdaq is on track for its best quarter since Q2 2009 when it gained 20.1%, its biggest Q3 gain since 1997 when it gained 16.89%
  • The last time all three indexes were concurrently up by 14% or more for a quarter was in Q4 1998, when the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq gained 17%, 20.9%, & 29.4% respectively

September 2009:
September
ranks as the worst month historically on average for all three US major Indexes, with Dow, S&P and Nasdaq Composite posting on average a loss of -1.2%, -1.3%, and -1.04%, respectively:

-The Dow is currently up 211.16 points or 2.22% for the month
-The NASDAQ Composite is currently up 98.55 points or 4.91% for the month
-The S&P 500 is currently up 30.16 points or 2.96% for the month

  • The Dow is on track for its best September since 2007 when it gained 4.03%
  • The S&P is on track for its best September since 2007 when it gained 3.58%
  • The Nasdaq Composite is on track for its best September since 1998 when it gained 12.98%

Calendar Year 2009:
As of September 24 closing prices the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq are up 10.6%, 16.33%, and 33.64% year to date:

- The Dow is on track for its biggest yearly gain since 2006 when it gained 16.3%
- The S&P is on track for its biggest yearly gain since 2003 when it gained 26.38%
- The Nasdaq Composite is on track for its biggest yearly gain since 2003 when it gained 50%

**From March lows (3/09/09):
- The Dow is up 3160.39 points or 48.3% from its March low close of 6547.05
- The S&P is up 374.25 points or 55.32% from its March low close of 676.53
- The Nasdaq Composite is up 838.97 points or 66% from its March low close of 1268.64

Contine on to the next page for the Top 10 and Bottom 10 stocks QTD in each of the major indices:

Top / Bottom 10 Stocks of the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq

Top 10 Leading/Bottom stocks in the S&P for the third quarter so far are:

Top 10 Leading/Bottom stocks in the Dow for the third quarter so far are:

Top 10 Leading/Bottom stocks in the Nasdaq100 for the third quarter so far are:

Send comments to: bythenumbers@cnbc.com

bythenumbers.cnbc.com

Symbol
Price
 
Change
%Change
DJIA
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S&P 500
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NASDAQ
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ICE
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MHFI
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MCO
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SRCL
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NIHD
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EXPE
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JNJ
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WMT
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MDLZ
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JPM MLP ETN
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AA
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GE
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FLEX
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LINTA
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VZ
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TMUS
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WYNN
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GCI
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CAT
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XOM
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MCD
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