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The euro looks set to reverse some of its recent losses against the dollar and yen as investors scramble to cover bets that the currency will fall, Chris Zwermann, global strategist at Zwermann Financial, told CNBC Wednesday.
Global shares slid to three-month lows Friday, but the US market recovered in late trading, while the dollar and Treasurys rose.
Japan's largest investment bank, Nomura Holdings, has been one of the beneficiaries of the financial crisis. Its EMEA Chairman and CEO Sadeq Sayeed told Maria Bartiromo on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos that "the more turmoil there in the market surprisingly helps us."
The dollar has turned a corner against the yen, Robin Griffiths, technical analyst at Cazenove Capital, said Monday.
Analysts predict the U.S. currency will build on its end-of-the-year gains, but it will only be a modest rally on the back of the improving economy and higher interest rates.
With interest rates nearly at zero percent in the U.S., global investors seeking risks and higher returns are borrowing dollars to invest in higher yielding instruments such as stocks leading to a strong inverse relationship between the S&P 500 and the Dollar Index in 2009.
The dollar's slide lower against the yen shows no sign of letting up and it could push toward 80 yen, which the pair would not have seen since 1995, Royce Tostrams, Technical Analyst at Tostrams Groep, told CNBC.
"The dollar over the next year or two will tend to see downward pressure because our recovery will be fragile and uneven," says one economist.
The American currency is under siege. It is trading near 14-month lows and there are questions about whether it deserves its status as a reserve currency.
If you really want to understand the implications of the falling U.S. dollar, make a run for the border—the U.S./Canadian border, where currency fluctuations are felt just about everywhere money changes hands.
The recent weakness in the dollar index is likely to continue and it could soon hit an all-time low of 70.65 points, Royce Tostrams, technical analyst from Tostrams Groep, told CNBC.
Jerry Castellini, president and CIO of CastleArk Management, Brian Dolan, chief currency strategist at Forex.com and Matt Zeman, trader at LaSalle Futures Group offered their views on where investors should put their money.
Talk of the perils of dollar weakness has been exaggerated for three decades—and in that way are somewhat comical--while predictions of its demise as the reserve currency is premature. The dollar saga is also the stuff of a short memory.
Oil prices are coming down from August highs, while the Standard & Poor's 500 index is approaching levels where it will find it hard to move higher, Chris Locke, managing director at Oystertrade.com Management, told CNBC Wednesday.
The falling US dollar is expected to get even weaker, moving to the center of a carry trade and encouraging global investors to borrow more dollars to fund higher-yielding currencies and assets. Is this necessarily a bad thing and does this mean the dollar will become the new yen? Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital shared his thoughts.
The dollar is clearly stuck in a downward trend as it takes over from the yen as the carry-trade currency of choice, but if the trend continues it faces a “fully-fledged dollar crisis,” Robin Griffiths, technical strategist at Cazenove Capital, told CNBC.
The bulging US government debt can turn into an investment opportunity, legendary investor Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, told CNBC Monday.
The stock market rally we have experienced since hitting the lows in March is over and stocks could retest those lows in the future as further problems loom for the financial sector, Chris Locke, managing director at Oystertrade.com Management, said Wednesday.
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Global stocks began the day higher, with Asian markets jumping more than 2 percent, lifting world shares to a 10-month high. Oil prices also climbed towards a 10-month peak and copper futures rose on hopes the global economic recovery is picking up steam.