Skip navigation

Trader Talk

TRADER TALK VIDEO GALLERY

» More

Current DateTime: 05:05:22 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30483322
Expiration DateTime: 11/24/2009 5:06:22 AM

TRADER TALK RSS FEED

» Help

Current DateTime: 05:05:23 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30456179
powered by digg
Morning Trades—After Dow 10K
Published: Thursday, 15 Oct 2009 | 9:45 AM ET
Text Size
By: Bob Pisani
CNBC Reporter

Buy the rumor...sell the...Goldman Sachs [GS  Loading...      ()   ] down 3 percent pre-open, S&P 500 futures dropped 10 points right after Goldman reported earnings far better than expectations ($5.25 vs. $4.24). Even topline was better than consensus: $12.37 billion vs. $11.02 billion.

How did Goldman beat by such a wide margin? There appears to be two factors:

1) big gains corporate and real estate principal investments ($911 million); and

2) they paid less salary relative to their revenues: the ratio of compensation to revenues dipped to 43%, compared to 48% in the last quarter.

Trading remained strong: even though Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) made less than the second quarter, it still generated $6 billion in revenues, about half the total.

The investment banking backlog "increased significantly."

Dow 10000
Early read on earnings: most companies are beating earnings expectations, banks in particularly are beating by a wide margin, while topline growth is a bit more modest. Peter Boockvar at Miller Tabak estimates that 18 of 20 companies have beat earnings estimates while only 10 have exceeded revenue estimates.

Elsewhere:

1) futures came off their lows at 8:30 AM; several economic indicators were released, but the Empire Manufacturing number came in at twice the expectation: 34.57 vs. 17.25 consensus.

2) Citigroup [C  Loading...      ()   ] down 2 percent reported a loss of $0.27 (includes items related to its exchange offer and preferred stock dividends) vs. consensus of a loss of $0.38, revenues slightly above consensus: $20.4 billion topline vs. $20.04 b consensus).

3) While everyone was obsessing on Goldman and Citi, cell phone giant Nokia [NOK  Loading...      ()   ] is down 9 percent pre-open reported earnings and sales well below expectations. They said there were some positive signs but the global consumer spending outlook for next year is uncertain.

4) On Monday Pier One [PIR  Loading...      ()   ] gave some hope that the retail environment may be turning around amid improved traffic and margins at its stores.

See Complete Earnings Central Coverage
Echoing that commentary this morning are comments from DSW [DSW  Loading...      ()   ], which is soaring 10 percent pre-open. The shoe retailer now sees a 6 percent to 8 percent rise in Q3 same store-sales on improved customer traffic. In addition to the sales pickup, the retailer sees higher margins, enabling it to significantly raise its full-year earnings guidance to $0.70-$0.80 from $0.37-$0.45.

It does, however, remain "cautious in its expectations for the fourth quarter as it expects the economic environment to remain challenging."

5) Harley-Davidson [HOG  Loading...      ()   ] down 6 percent after missing estimates ($0.11 vs. $0.21 est.) on lower margins. While motorcycle sales continued to post a steep year-over-year drop of 21 percent in the third quarter, that was better than the 30 percent drop in Q2 sales.

The motorcycle manufacturer expects to ship 222,000-227,000 motorcycles in 2009, at the high end of its lowered guidance issued at the end of the second quarter.

_____________________________

_____________________________

Questions?  Comments? 

© 2009 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Add This share icon
Text Size
  • digg share
ADD COMMENTS
Remaining characters


Current DateTime: 01:19:40 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29778428

Current DateTime: 01:02:05 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779196

Current DateTime: 01:09:37 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779199

Current DateTime: 01:02:06 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 29779198
  Data is a real-time snapshot  *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes
Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis

© 2009 CNBC, Inc.  All Rights Reserved.
A Division of NBC Universal
Thomson ReutersThomson Reuters