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Current DateTime: 04:01:09 22 Nov 2009
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Current DateTime: 04:01:09 22 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30111251
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S&P 500 Earnings Leaderboard: Biggest Surprises Season to Date
Published: Thursday, 29 Oct 2009 | 11:22 AM ET
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By: Ariel Nelson
Director of Market Data & Content Services

Yesterday we passed the earnings season midpoint and now ~60% of the S&P 500 [.SPX  Loading...      ()   ] companies have reported earnings.  

Here's how things stand so far:

  • Companies Exceeding EPS Estimates: 80%
  • Companies Matching EPS Estimates: 6%
  • Companies Falling Below EPS Estimates: 14%

At the same point last quarter, 14% of the companies reporting had missed EPS estimates and  76% had beaten estimates. 

Dow component, Caterpillar [CAT  Loading...      ()   ] has had the biggest percent surprise to the upside followed by Capital One [COF  Loading...      ()   ] and Sallie Mae [SLM  Loading...      ()   ].  In absolute dollars, financials sit atop the leaderboard.  After Citigroup's [C  Loading...      ()   ] surprise of over $1.3 billion, JP Morgan Chase [JPM  Loading...      ()   ] and Wells Fargo [WFC  Loading...      ()   ] follow with ~$1.2 billion and ~$900 million surprises.   

  Earnings - Best Performers (as of 10/29 am)
CompanySymbolSectorDateEPS Est.Actual%Chg
CaterpillarCATIndustrials10/20/20090.060.64967%
Capital OneCOFFinancials10/22/20090.140.94571%
Sallie MaeSLMFinancials10/20/20090.040.26550%
AK SteelAKSMaterials10/27/20090.010.06500%
PNC FinancialPNCFinancials10/22/20090.311.00223%

On the downside, Massey Energy [MEE  Loading...      ()   ] overtook Pittsburgh based Allegheny Technologies [ATI  Loading...      ()   ] to lead the losers, reporting a -122% miss.  In absolute dollars, Bank of America leads with its $433 million negative surprise. 

  Earnings - Biggest Losers (as of 10/29 am)
CompanySymbolSectorRpt DateEPS Est.Actual%Chg
Massey EnergyMEEEnergy10/27/20090.18-0.04-122%
Allegheny TechnologiesATIMaterials10/21/20090.030.01-67%
Harley DavidsonHOGCons Disc10/15/20090.210.11-48%
GenzymeGENZHealthcare10/21/20090.440.31-30%
CONSOL EnergyCNXEnergy10/22/20090.660.48-27%

Source: Thomson Reuters

Many companies have improved their earnings by cutting costs.  Investors are looking for topline growth as a sign that the economy has indeed turned the corner.  Continue on to the next page to see the biggest revenue surprises to date as well.

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