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Current DateTime: 02:05:18 24 Nov 2009
LinksList Documentid: 30111251
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S&P 500 Earnings Leaderboard: Biggest Surprises Season to Date
Published: Thursday, 5 Nov 2009 | 7:23 AM ET
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By: Ariel Nelson
Director of Market Data & Content Services

Earnings season is coming closer to an end now that ~80% of the S&P 500 [.SPX  Loading...      ()   ] companies have reported earnings.    

Here's how things stand so far:

  • Companies Exceeding EPS Estimates: 80%
  • Companies Matching EPS Estimates: 6%
  • Companies Falling Below EPS Estimates: 14%

At the same point last quarter, 18% of the companies reporting had missed EPS estimates and  74% had beaten estimates. 

Dow component, Caterpillar [CAT  Loading...      ()   ] has had the biggest percent surprise to the upside followed by Nicor [GAS  Loading...      ()   ] and Sallie Mae [SLM  Loading...      ()   ].  In absolute dollars, financials sit atop the leaderboard.  After Citigroup's [C  Loading...      ()   ] surprise of over $1.3 billion, Ford [F  Loading...      ()   ] and JP Morgan Chase [JPM  Loading...      ()   ] follow with ~$1.2 billion surprises each.   

  Earnings - Best Performers (as of 11/4)
CompanySymbolSectorDateEPS Est.Actual%Chg
CaterpillarCATIndustrials10/20/20090.060.64967%
NicorGASUtilities10/30/20090.040.30650%
KLA-TencorKLACTech10/29/20090.020.15650%
Capital OneCOFFinancials10/22/20090.140.94571%
Sallie MaeSLMFinancials10/20/20090.040.26550%

On the downside, Massey Energy [MEE  Loading...      ()   ] remains atop the leaderboard, with its -122% miss.  Pioneer Natural Resources [PXD  Loading...      ()   ] debuts with the second worst surprise.  In absolute dollars, Etrade Financial [ETFC  Loading...      ()   ] leads with its $1 billion negative surprise. 

  Earnings - Biggest Losers (as of 11/4)
CompanySymbolSectorRpt DateEPS Est.Actual%Chg
Massey EnergyMEEEnergy10/27/20090.18-0.04-122%
Pioneer Natural ResourcesPXDEnergy11/3/20090.070.02-71%
Allegheny TechnologiesATIMaterials10/21/20090.030.01-67%
Smith InternationalSIIEnergy10/29/20090.150.07-53%
Apartment Investment & MgmtAIVFinancials10/30/20090.390.19-51%

Source: Thomson Reuters

Many companies have improved their earnings by cutting costs.  Investors are looking for topline growth as a sign that the economy has indeed turned the corner.  Continue on to the next page to see the biggest revenue surprises to date as well.

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