INDICATORS - Hungary - Updated on Nov 12

BUDAPEST, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Hungary's latest indicators: (Last updated on Nov. 12, with 12-month Treasury bill auction average yield.) KEY CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATES (latest change in brackets) Base rate 7.00 pct (-50 bps on Oct 19) 2-week deposit rate 7.00 pct (-50 bps on Oct 19) ------------------------------------------------------------- GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (year-on-year pct change) Q2 2009 Q1 2009 Full 2008 Q2 2008 Unadj. -7.5 -6.7 0.6 2.1 Calendar and seasonally -adjusted -7.3 -5.6 0.4 1.6 Quarter-to- quarter -2.0 -2.6 N/A -0.2 --------------------------------------------------------- INFLATION (pct change) Sept 2009 Sept 2009 Oct 2008 Headline CPI m/m 0.0 -0.1 0.2 Headline CPI y/y 4.7 4.9 5.1 Core CPI y/y 4.9 5.1 4.6 KSH BREAKDOWN OF CPI MONTHLY CHANGE Food Alcohol Clothing Consumer Energy Other Service Total tobacco durables goods May 4.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 -0.4 0.6 0.3 1.5 June -1.6 0.8 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 1.9 0.3 0.1 July -1.7 2.9 -2.9 2.4 0.5 2.7 3.2 1.3 Aug -2.8 0.3 -2.6 0.0 1.9 0.4 0.7 -0.3 Sept -0.6 1.0 2.9 0.7 0.7 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1 Oct 0.1 0.6 3.7 -0.7 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 0.0 KSH BREAKDOWN OF CPI YEAR-ON-YEAR CHANGE June 5.9 6.4 0.5 1.6 8.0 -1.1 3.6 3.7 July 4.9 8.8 1.1 4.7 7.7 1.3 6.0 5.1 Aug 3.5 8.9 2.3 4.9 5.6 3.2 6.2 5.0 Sept 3.0 9.4 1.7 5.7 6.4 2.8 5.9 4.9 Oct 2.8 9.6 0.6 4.9 5.8 3.3 5.6 4.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI pct change) Sept 2009 Aug 2009 Sept 2008 Month-on-month 0.1 -0.5 1.3 Year-on-year 3.4 4.6 4.4 ---------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT (pct change) Sept 2009 Aug 2009 Sept 2008 Month-on-month (adjusted) +3.7 -0.7 -2.1 Year-on-year (adjusted) -15.0 -19.8 -3.6 Year-on-year (unadjusted) -15.0 -19.8 +1.3 NOTE: Sept 2009 figures are preliminary. Final figures are due out on November 13. Month-on-month figures are seasonally and working day-adjusted. Adjusted year-on-year data reflect the number of working days. --------------------------------------------------------- UNEMPLOYMENT (Three-month rolling figures) July-Sept '09 June-Aug '09 July-Sept '08 Unemployed (Pct of workforce) 10.3 9.9 7.7 Number of jobless 436,200 418,800 327,700 Employed (Pct of workforce) 49.2 49.4 50.9 (million) 3.784 3.800 3.924 -------------------------------------------------------- WAGES (year-on-year pct change) Aug 2009 July 2009 FY 2008 --Real wage N/A N/A 0.7 --Net wage 3.2 3.9 6.8 --Gross wage 0.6 1.5 7.5 --Private sector bonus-adjusted 4.8 4.7 8.2 --------------------------------------------------------- RETAIL SALES (pct change) Aug 2009 July 2009 Aug 2008 Month-on-month -0.7 -2.4 -0.2 Year-on-year -7.2 -6.7 -1.4 NOTE - Month-on-month retail data are seasonally and working day-adjusted. Year-on-year data are working day-adjusted. ---------------------------------------------------------- BUDGET BALANCE (in billion Hungarian forints) Jan-Oct 2009 Jan-Oct 2008 Central state budget -793.8 -828.0 Indep. govt funds -11.8 74.5 Social sec. funds -242.1 10.9 ---------------------------------------------- Public sector balance -1,047.7 -742.6 ----------------------------------------------- DETAILED CENTRAL BANK C/A FIGURES (In million euros) Q2 Q1 Q2 2009 2009 2008 Trade of goods/services 1,815 843 397 Goods 1,398 717 101 -Exports 14,334 13,729 19,169 -Imports 12,936 13,012 19,067 Services 417 126 296 Income and current transfers -1,339 -1,404 -1,948 ----------------------------------------------------------- CURRENT ACCOUNT 476 -562 -1,550 ------------------------------------------------------------ Capital account 415 300 122 Non debt creating financing -403 27 -1,433 -Abroad -315 -114 660 (Equity capital) -287 -69 -89 -in Hungary -897 396 -964 (Equity capital) 273 272 158 reinvested profits -1,170 124 -1,122 Portfolio inv. 810 -255 -1,129 ------------------------------------------------------- KSH TRADE BALANCE (million euros) Sep 2009 Aug 2009 Jan-Sep '09 Sep '08 Jan-Sep '08 485.6 254.3 3,322.2 95.1 -171.6 NOTE - The KSH is the Central Statistics Office. -------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL BANK INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (million euros, end-period) Sept 2009 Aug 2009 Dec 2008 Sept 2008 30,603 30,353 24,040 17,409 ------------------------------------------------------- LATEST TREASURY BILL AUCTION YIELDS (pct) 6-week 3-month 12-month 6.80 6.45 6.30 LATEST GOVERNMENT BOND AUCTION YIELDS (pct) 3-yr 2013/E 5-yr 2015/A 10-yr 2019/A 15-yr 2023/A 7.18 7.24 7.50 8.14 HUNGARY'S SOVEREIGN RATINGS (Outlook in brackets) Fitch Moody's S&P (negative) (negative) (stable) Short-term forint N/A N/A A-3 Long-term forint BBB+ Baa1 BBB- Short-term foreign c. F3 N/A A-3 Long-term foreign c. BBB Baa1 BBB- Data release diary......................... Forecasts for key indicators................ Forecasts for EUR/HUF.................. Benchmark govt securities yields........... Government securities auctions... Auction history.......................... Foreigners' govt bond holding history...... Duration of foreigners' holding history.... NBH two-week deposits history............ NBH forint fixings......................... Forint/dollar market quotes................ Forint/euro market quotes.................. Interbank o/n, t/n deposit rates... Budapest Stock Exchange BUX index.......... (Reporting by Sandor Peto) Keywords: HUNGARY INDICATORS/ ([e-mail]; [phone]; Reuters Messaging [e-mail]) COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved.

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