Double-Dip Recession Still Possible: Chief Investor

Friday's jobs report provided a boost to believers in an economic recovery, but there are still skeptics. Brett Gallagher, deputy chief investment officer of Artio Global Investors, shared his market outlook.

Global Strategy Session
Global Strategy Session   

“A lot of stimulus has been put into place already and it will continue to be a bit of a tailwind for Q4 and Q1. But after that, the momentum that government is hoping to build and hand over to consumers—I don’t see it,” Gallagher told CNBC.

“There’s been absolutely no addressing the critical problem and that is the amount of consumer debt that has built up, not only in the U.S. but also in places like U.K., Netherlands, Spain, and Ireland," he said. "Consumers are not going to want to spend when the government pulls back.”

As a result, Gallagher said a double-dip recession is still possible. He sees emerging markets offering the best opportunities for investors.

“We see some sort of slowdown,” he said. “Governments may continue to prolong it—they may get additional stimulus—but at the end of the day, the consumer is 55 to 65 percent of each of these economies. And if the consumer is not healthy, I don’t see how the economy can be expected to function properly.”

  • Watch Gallagher's Latest Apperance on CNBC (April 14, 2009)

______________________________
Market Point/Counterpoint:

______________________________
CNBC Data Pages:

______________________________
CNBC Slideshows:

______________________________

______________________________
CNBC's Companies in the News:

AIG

  • Five AIG Execs May Quit Over Pay: Report

MetLife

  • MetLife Outlook Better than Average Expectations

Chevron

  • Chevron's $82 Billion LNG Deal Puts Heat on Rivals

Dell

Kraft

  • Kraft Launches $16.3 Billion Offer for Cadbury

______________________________
Disclosures:

No immediate information was available for Gallagher or his firm.

______________________________

Disclaimer