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Interest Rates: A Big Fear in 2010?

Thursday, 31 Dec 2009 | 7:45 PM ET

As the new decade kicks off, the Fast Money traders are devling deeper into what could be one of the biggest threats to the markets and your money for years to come: Interest rates. To help sort out the situation, Jim Iuorio of TJM Institutional services talks with the traders on how to play these market shaping factors.

Trading 2010: Interest Rates
Why interest rates are the big story next year, with Jim Iuorio, CME trader.

With the government ending its purchase of Treasurys, reducing their purchases of mortgage backed securities, and with big spending programs passing through the legislature, the long end of the yield curve stands to be hurt by these actions and rates stand to go up. How do you profit from this? Iuorio suggests the Proshares Ultrashort 20, although he admits it is not a perfect instrument, it is the inverse to the long end of the Treasury curve and should make money if the government maintains its course. He also points out that yields have gone from 320-390 for the last 6 months, and if they go above 390, he expects volatility to spike, so the way to play this is through call options.

Trader Surprise for 2010

Steve Grasso is giving his take on what could be a major surprise in 2010, and it lies in green an alternative energy. He thinks that although this has become a buzzword, the facts don't necessarily support the hype. He sees natural gas being the most profitable part of the energy trade, while solar names may retrace lower in 2010, as they are highly dependent on government subsidies.

For the trader's full analysis of these calls, check out the video!


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Trader disclosure: On December 31st, 2009, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders;

Cortes Is Long S&P 500; Cortes Is Long U.S. Dollar vs. AUD, MXN; Cortes Is Short Gold; Cortes Is Short Crude Oil; Cortes Is Long T-Bonds; Cortes Owns (GD); Cortes Is Short (PHM); Cortes Is Short (TOL)

Kelly Owns (PAL); Kanundrum Capital Owns (AA); Kanundrum Capital Owns (BAC); Kanundrum Capital Owns (C); Kanundrum Capital And Kelly Own (FCX); Kanundrum Capital Owns (FXI); Kanundrum Capital Owns (FXY), Kelly Owns (FXY) Puts; Kanundrum Capital Owns (GLD); Kanundrum Capital Owns (GLW); Kanundrum Capital Owns (JPM); Kanundrum Capital Owns (SSO); Kanundrum Capital Owns (TBT); Kanundrum Capital Owns (USO); Kelly Owns (UUP)

Terranova Works For (VRTS); Terranova Is Chief Market Strategist Of Virtus Investment Partners, Ltd.

Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DLR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (UA)

Grasso Owns (APK); Grasso Owns (AAPL); Grasso Owns (ASTM); Grasso Owns (BAC); Grasso Owns (BGP); Grasso Owns (C); Grasso Owns (COST); Grasso Owns (CSCO); Grasso Owns (FAZ); Grasso Owns (PFE); Grasso Owns (PRST); Grasso Owns (WMT); Grasso Owns (V)

Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (AIZ)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (CUBA)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (GERN)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (GLG)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (HSPO)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (NWS.A)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (NXST)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (NYX)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (PDE)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (PRST)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (RDC)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (ROK)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (TLM)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (XRX)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (SDS)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Are Short (QQQQ)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Are ShorT (CL)

JIM IUORIO

Iuorio Owns (TBT)
Iuorio Owns (FXA)
Iuorio Owns (FXC)
Iuorio Is Long Equity Volatility With A Negative Bias
Iuorio Owns (GLD) Puts, Is Short (GLD) Puts

***IUORIO DOES NOT HAVE DISCLOSURES ON TYH, SHY

SCOTT BURNS

Morningstar ETF Research Team Owns (XLP), (IEO), (XLU), (PGF), (WIP) In Its Model Portfolios
Barnes Owns (XLP), (PGF)
Morningstar Licenses Indexes To Blackrock/iShares

BRAD HINTZ

Hintz Owns Morgan Stanley And Discover
Hintz Owns (CME)
Accounts Over Which Bernstein And/Or Affiliates Exercise Investmet Discretion Own More Than 1% Of (GS), (MS)
(GS), (MS) Are Or In Past 12 Months Were Clients Of Bernstein (Non-Investment Banking-Securities Related Services)
An Affiliate Of Bernstein Received Non-Investment Banking Compensation From (GS), (MS) (Securities Related Services)


JIM SUVA

Citigroup Global Markets Or Affiliates Owns 1% Or More Of (PALM)
Citigroup Global Markets Or Affiliates Has Received Investment Banking Compensation For Services Provided In Past 12 Months From (MOT), (GLW)
Citigroup Global Markets Or Affilate In Past 12 Months Received Non-Investment Banking Compensation From (MOT), (PALM), (GLW)
(MOT), (GLW) Are Or In Past 12 Months Were Investment Banking Clients Of Citigroup Global Markets
(MOT), (PALM), (GLW) Are Or In Past 12 Months Were Non-Investment Banking Clients Of Citigroup Global Markets (Non-Securities-Related Services)
Citigroup Global Markets Or Affiliate Received Compensation In Past 12 Months From (MOT)
Citigroup Global Markets Is A Market Maker In (RIMM), (PALM)
Citigroup Global Markets And/Or Affiliates Has A Significant Financial Interest In Relation To (MOT), (GLW)

***JIM SUVA HAS ADDITIONAL DISCLOSURES -- WILL UPDATE IF APPLICABLE

NEHAL CHOKSHI

***NO DISCLOSURES



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