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How Does Obama's First Year Stack Up?

Wednesday, 20 Jan 2010 | 9:15 AM ET

Today marks the 1 year anniversary from President Obama's Inauguration last year. Here are how the markets stand 1 year later and compared to presidents from 1901 until today. Data is as of Tuesday's closing prices.

Since the Close on President Obama's Inauguration Day on 1/20/2009:

  • The Dow is up 35% (up 30% since day before inauguration)
  • The S&P is up 43% (35% since day before inauguration)
  • The NASDAQ Composite is up 61% (up 51% since day before inauguration)
  • NYMEX Crude Oil is up 93%
  • NYMEX RBOB NY Harbor Gasoline is up 76%
  • COMEX Gold is up 33%
  • US Dollar Index is down -10%
  • CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is down -69%

>> See the Best / Worst Stocks of Obama's First Year Here

Comparing Obama to Past Presidents (Dow Performance Since 1901):

  • Only FDR saw the Dow do better in his first year in office (up 96% from inauguration day 1933); 1 year after FDR's 2nd inauguration, the Dow fell 29% for the worst 1 year after an inauguration
  • On average the Dow has gained 7.6% in the year after a Presidential Inauguration
    • Up 64.5% of the time, with an avg gain of 19.47% when up
    • Down 35.5% of the time, with an avg loss of -13.98% when down
  • President that saw the Dow drop the most in his first year: Jimmy Carter (the Dow fell 19%)
  • Democrats, on average, see bigger gains from inauguration day to one year later:
    • Democrats see an average gain in the Dow of +12.5% one year after their inauguration, the number rises to 24.9% for their first term in office
    • Republicans see an average gain in the Dow of +3.7% one year after their inauguration, the number falls to 1.5% for their first term in office
  • Republicans, on average, see bigger gains in their 2nd year from inauguration day:
    • Republicans see an average gain in the Dow of +7.8% in the 2nd year after their inauguration
    • Democrats see an average loss in the Dow of -2.0% in the 2nd year after their inauguration

Dow Performance by First and Second Year of Each Presidential Term:

See the top stocks of Obama's First Year

The table below highlights S&P Best/WorstStocks since George W. Bush's last full day in Office (1/16/09):

  Price   Change %Change
DJIA
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S&P 500
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NASDAQ
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SVU
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KIM
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VLO
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AEPI
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TMUS
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CBG
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WDC
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FCX
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AMD
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THC
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XL
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KODK
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APOL
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