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UPDATE: Intel Earnings Preview

Monday, 12 Apr 2010 | 5:38 PM ET

After Alcoa, the next Dow component to report will be Intel. What should you expect and how should you trade?

The Expectations

Intel is expected to post earnings of 38 cents a share on revenue of $9.8 billion versus 11 cents a share and revenue of $7.1 billion last year, according to Thomson Reuters.

Investors will be particularly keen to hear what Intel has to say about demand for its chips used in personal computers -- in an attempt to gauge the health of the consumer.

"We are anticipating another strong quarterly performance as various industry sources are pointing to increased demand," writes the website iStockAnalyst.

However if Intel show some inventory builds, investors may interpret the results as a bearish signal that the consumer is weak and that the recovery will be sluggish.

Take Your Position: Intel
A look ahead of the tech giant's earnings.

What’s the trade?

My sense is that Intel stock will have a great quarter and the stock goes higher on earnings. If you see a big volume day the next day I'd take profits. Then I'd wait for a pullback and get long.

If Intel says good things, I’d get long Teradyne , Marvell Technology and Lam Research , says Joe Terranova.

Remember 10,10, 70 says Anthony Scaramucci of Skybridge on Thursday's Fast Money. Intel has $10 billion in free net cash flow, they have $10 billion of net cash on the balance sheet and 70 percent of sales are off the coast of the US. And it’s an Apple derivative play. I'm bullish.

Intel is now trading at 12x consensus 2011 EPS estimates. This is below the relative valuations of their peer group. Intel remains one of our favorite Dow stocks given their strong balance sheet and favorable outlook as they continue to distance themselves from competitors, says iStockAnalyst.
In the space I’d rather play National Semi or Marvell , says Pete Najarian.


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Trader disclosure: On Apr 12, 2010, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Grasso Owns (AAPL), (C), (BAC), (WMT), (T), (LPX); Karabell Owns (FCX); Karabell Owns (AAPL) ; Jon Najarian Owns (PALM) options; Jon Najarian Owns (CAR) options; Adami Owns (INTC), (GS), (AGU), (MSFT), (NUE), (BTU), (C); Terranova Owns (HES), (TER), (AXP), (MOS), (APA), (YHOO); Terranova Is Short (LCC); Pete Najarian Owns (AA) Call Spread ; Pete Najarian Owns (BAC) Calls; Pete Najarian Owns (C) Calls; Najarian Owns (DD) Call Spread ; Najarian Owns (DOW) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (LVS) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (MRVL); Najarian Owns (PCX) & Short (PCX) Calls; Najarian Owns (STX) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (TSO) Calls; Najarian Owns (YUM) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (YHOO) Call Spread; Finerman's Firm Is Short (IJR), (MDY), (SPY), (IWM); Finerman's Firm Is Long S&P Puts; Finerman Owns (AAPL); Finerman's Firm Owns (BAC), (BAC) Leap; Finerman Owns (BAC), (JPM); Finerman's Firm Owns (TJX), (BBY), (JPM), (AEO), (IBB)

Other Relevant Disclosure:
Credit Suisse Does and seek to do business with companies covered in its research reports (JPM)
Stuart Frankel & It's Partners Own (LPX)
Stuart Frankel & It's Partners Own (SDS)

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Trader disclosure: On April 9, 2010, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Terranova Owns (HES), (TER), (AXP), (YHOO), (APA),; Terranova Is Short (LCC), (XLY); Finerman's Firm Is Short (IYR), (IJR), (MDY), (SPY), (IWM): Finerman's Firm Is Long S&P Puts: Finerman Owns (AAPL), (USO); Finerman's Firm Owns (BAC), (BAC) Leap; Finerman Owns (BAC) Preferred, (BAC), (BAC) Calls; Finerman's Firm Owns (CASY); Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (JPM); Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (BBY); Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (WFC) Preferred; Grasso Owns (LPX), (ASTM), (ABK), (AAPL), (BAC), (BGP), (C), (CVGI), (COST), (JPM), (NEM), (PRST), (WMT), (PFE), (BA), (T); Iuorio Owns (AAPL), (WMT), (FXA), (FXC); Iuorio Owns (SPY) Calls; Iuorio Owns (QQQQ) Calls; Iuorio Owns (USO) Puts; Iuorio Owns (GLD), (GLD) calls; Iuorio Owns (FXE) Puts; Jon Najarian Owns (PALM); Jon Najarian Owns (JPM) Preferred; Jon Najarian Owns (GOOG) Put Spreads, Owns (AAPL) Call Spreads; Kelly Owns (NBG), (FRE); Karabell Owns (FCX); Seymour Owns (AAPL), (AA), (BAC), (BP), (INTC), (MSFT)

For Tim Seymour
Seygem Asset Management Owns (POT)

For JoeTerranova
Terranova Works For (VRTS)
Terranova Is Chief Market Strategist Of Virtus Investment Partners, Ltd.
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLI)

For Steve Grasso
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (LPX)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (CUBA)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (CVGI)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (GERN)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (HSPO)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (MERC)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (NWS.A)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (NXST)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (NYX)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (PDE)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (PFE)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (PRST)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (RDC)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (TLM)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (XRX)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Own (SDS)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Are Short (QQQQ)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Are Short (CL)
Stuart Frankel And Its Partners Are Short (AAPL)

For Brian Kelly
Kanundrum Capital Owns (MS)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (FRE)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (FNM)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (VMC)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (POT)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (GOOG)
Kanundrum Capital Owns (NBG)
Kanundrum Capital Is Long Dollar
Kanundrum Capital Is Long Treasuries
Kanundrum Capital Is Short Euro
Kanundrum Capital Is Short Yen
Kanundrum Capital Is Short Franc


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