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Market Action, Bullish Advance Or Quarter End Melt-Up

Tuesday, 15 Jun 2010 | 5:25 PM ET

They say every dog has its day; apparently so does every bull. And Tuesday was it.

After struggling for weeks to push stocks significantly higher the bulls finally accomplished what they set out to do.

On Tuesday they drove the S&P above its 200-day moving average for the first time in a month. A technically significant move, it led to speculation that the recent downtrend may be nearing an end.

Well, now what? How should you be positioned now?

Instant Insights with the Fast Money traders

I think Tuesday’s action can be interpreted as either bullish or bearish, muses Guy Adami. It’s bullish because we broke above technical resistance. But it may be bearish because at 1130 some chart analysts may see a head and shoulders pattern – a technically negative sign.

I think we’re looking at a quarter end melt-up, muses veteran trader Gary Kaminksy. A lot of portfolio managers were caught with their pants down last week when the market rallied. As a result I expect the melt up to continue through the end of the quarter, which is June 30th.

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I’m bullish, reveals Joe Terranova. I agree that right now we’re seeing an end of quarter chase but sentiment is changing and that’s a major shift.

Although we’re above the 200-day I just can’t feel bullish, counters Steve Grasso. The volume was terrible on Tuesday. There always seems to be big volume on down days but not on up days.

I think the worst is definitely in front of us, says Dan Niles of Alpha One Capital Partners. What really matters for the future of the market is Europe; the cost of borrowing for the PIIGS is going up. Technically we had a nice move but fundamentally nothing got better on Tuesday.



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Trader disclosure: On June 15, 2010, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders: Finerman and Finerman’s Firm owns (AAPL); Finerman’s Firm owns (BAC) stock and calls; Finerman and Finerman’s Firm own (BAC) preferred; Finerman and Finerman’s Firm owns (BBY); Finerman owns (BP) calls; Finerman and Finerman’s Firm owns (C); Finerman and Finerman’s Firm own (CVS); Finerman owns (GLW); Finerman (JPM); Finerman’s Firm owns (RIG); Finerman’s Firm owns (WMT); Finerman’s Firm is short (IJR); Finerman’s Firm is short (IWM); Finerman’s Firm is short (MOY); Finerman’s Firm is short (SPY); Terranova owns (IPSU), (BX), (PFE), (GMCR), (RSX), (TER), (AXP), (BMO), (BBY), (DIS), (XCO), (SWN), (GLD), (AAPL), (IPI), (SU), (V), (TEVA), (FXE), (FXB); Terranova owns UK Pounds; Terranova owns Euros; Terranova is short the US Dollar; Terranova owns S&P Futures; Adami owns (AGU), (BTU), (NUE), (C), (GS), (INTC), (MSFT); Adami’s wife works at Merck; Grasso owns (ABK), (BAC), (BGP), (C), (DYN), (JPM), (LPX), (NDAQ); Kelly owns (GLD); Kelly owns (GDXJ); Kelly owns (BP) puts; Kelly is short (GS)

For Joe Terranova
Terranova works for (VRTS)
Terranova is chief market strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD.
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLV)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (DRYS)

For Steve Grasso
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (BAX)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (CUBA)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (DHR)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (GERN)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (HSPO)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (MERC)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (MSFT)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (NWS.A)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (NYX)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (PDE)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (PFE)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (PRST)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (RDC)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (SYMC)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (TLM)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (TRV)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (XRX)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (SDS)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners own (TBT)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners are short (QQQQ)
Stuart Frankel & Co and it’s partners are short (AAPL)

Dan Niles
Niles and Alpha One Capital own AAPL, BIDU, PWER, VECO, BMI, ITRI, AKAM, AMR & AAI
Niles and Alpha One Capital are short BBY, STD, BBVA, UBS

Scott Nations
Scott Nations owns (MSFT)


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  • Chief Market Strategist for Virtus Investment Partners & CNBC Contributor

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