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Our market specialists dig deep into Wall Street’s daily metrics, crunching the numbers to help you become smarter about the market so that you can make better investment decisions. By The Numbers details the daily drama, the winners and losers, how the day stacks up historically, and how the numbers can offer a glimpse of the future.
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Retail Bears Out As Consumers Remain Cautious
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Shaun Curry | AFP | Getty Images |
With little progress on the overall jobs front, the consumer has ultimately remained very cautious, spurring more tepid spending over the past couple of months. Three weeks ago, many retailers reported very mixed May sales – and those results were far below the stronger sales numbers seen earlier in February and March. Since those May sales reports, the International Council of Shopping Centers also reported that chain store sales have declined in two of the first three weeks in June.
As spending has eased over the past couple of months, retail stocks have notably pulled back. As CNBC’s Matt Nesto pointed out on-air earlier today, the Morgan Stanley Retail Index [.MVR Loading... ()
However, the run-up in retail stocks over the past 19 months has been enormous and shouldn’t be overlooked. The Morgan Stanley Retail Index is still up 140% since bottoming in November 2008 – outperforming almost all other sector leaders in that period.
Other market leaders since November 2008: Airlines [.XAL Loading... ()
In fact, the only major group “outshining” retailers is Gold Stocks [.GOX Loading... ()
Nevertheless, the pullback in retail stocks over the past couple of months has been notable. Three retailers – JCPenney [JCP Loading... ()
Furthermore, just 20% of the Morgan Stanley Retail Index is up this quarter – and the gainers have essentially been limited to auto dealers and selected discounters/off-priced stores (AutoZone [AZO Loading... ()
Here are some of the ugly numbers for individual retailers since their April 26 close:
Retail Stocks Since April 26, 2010 |
| Symbol | Company Name | % Change |
| ODP | Office Depot | -46.59 |
| SHLD | Sears Holding | -41.3 |
| PSS | Collective Brands | -38.52 |
| BKS | Barnes & Noble | -36.12 |
| ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | -36.22 |
| TLB | Talbots | -35.43 |
| AEO | American Eagle | -32.2 |
| ANN | Ann Taylor | -29.04 |
| JCP | JCPenney | -28.49 |
| GME | GameStop | -27.53 |
| BBY | Best Buy | -26.12 |
| LOW | Lowe’s | -25.07 |
| GPS | Gap | -23.96 |
| M | Macy’s | -23.9 |
| DDS | Dillard’s | -23.02 |
| SKS | Saks | -22.52 |
| TIF | Tiffany | -21.58 |
| JWN | Nordstrom | -21.22 |
| LTD | Limited Brands | -21.11 |
| SPLS | Staples | -19.55 |
| HD | Home Depot | -18.69 |
| BBBY | Bed Bath & Beyond | -17.78 |
| KMX | CarMax | -17.47 |
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