- Greece Pours $22.6 Billion Into Its Four Biggest Banks
- US Markets Will Be Watching Europe—And Jobs Report
- China's Economic Rebalancing Only Geographical
- Spain's Debt Costs Near Danger Level: Is Bailout Next?
- Samsung Galaxy S3 Gets Head Start on iPhone
- India's Tumbling Rupee Roils Convertible Bond Market
- Law Firm Dewey Files Chapter 11, Seeks Liquidation
- Greek Contagion Could Drag Euro Below $1.19: Charts
- Japan's Marubeni Nears $5 Billion-Plus Gavilon Deal
- A New Look at the ‘New Poor’
- Six Pack: Beer Buzz of the Week
- Greek Exit Could Trigger 50% Fall in Euro Stocks: Analyst
- Under Pressure, FHA Skews to Wealthier Home Buyers
- Big Stock Upside for Hudson City Deal: Analyst
- 5 High-Yield Stocks Ready to Boost Dividends
- Yoshikami: Four Things You Need to Know About Gold Now
- Steinbock: The Euro Zone Endgame Begins
- Option Bulls Take Another Shot on Idenix
MOST SHARED
- China Rebalances Economy by Shifting Focus Inland
- China Bank Loans Pick Up After Infrastructure Push
- Greece to Leave Euro Zone on June 18: Wealth Manager
- Samsung Galaxy S3 Gets Head Start on iPhone
- Panasonic to Slash Up to 4,000 Jobs; Shares Rise
- Spain's Borrowing Costs Near Danger Level: Bailout Next?
- Greece Pours $22.6 Billion Into Four Biggest Banks
- Crude Prices Stay Firm as US Markets Reopen
- PTT Looks to Tap East African Gas via Cove Energy Bid
- European Firms Plan for Greek Unrest and Euro Exit
MOST POPULAR
HOT ON FACEBOOK
EU Stress Tests Are a Missed Opportunity: Strategist
CNBC EMEA Head of News
European stocks gained on Monday as investors breathed a sigh of relief that the results had not been more negative.
One analyst though tells CNBC.com that governments and regulators have missed a major opportunity that will come back to haunt them.
![]() |
iStock |
"Regulators have missed a good opportunity to get the European banking system back on track," James Ferguson, head of strategy at Arbuthnot Securities, told CNBC.com.
Ferguson believes regulators should have forced the banks to raise money in order to allow them to further restore their balance sheets and thinks they will now be forced to do so in more difficult times.
"Banks need to work through their losses in order to get back to a position where they can begin to lend more money to consumers and businesses," Ferguson said.
"What we will be left with is bad debt and less lending and lower growth," he predicted.
Regulators will end up losing credibility, because most European banks have passed but some are likely to be forced to raise money later, in more difficult conditions, according to Ferguson.
"A tier 1 capital ratio of 6 percent is misleading. The assumptions used in the stress tests show the banking industry will be brought to the edge of the cliff in an economic slowdown. If we get anything worse than those assumptions then we are in trouble," Ferguson, who is negative on the European banking sector, said.
European stress tests assumed a spike of 6 percent in unemployment, economic shrinking of 3 percent on average and a 6 percent rise in market interest rates.
The focus for markets will now return to economic data and corporate earnings, according to Gary Jenkins, head of fixed income research at Evolution Securities.
"The stress tests came in as expected and will be forgotten within a week," Jenkins said. "It is difficult to assume the worst and the European authorities will be wishing they had never bothered doing them in the first place."
Jenkins is negative on economic data for the next 2 years but is more confident about the prospects for corporate earnings and this is why he prefers corporate debt to government debt.
- Critical elections are scheduled for Greece in June. Here are some of the players and their roles.
- Our financial system is still not designed to meet the needs of poor families, says this author.
- Statistics show there aren’t many women billionaires compared to their male counterparts. Why?
- Click to see various forms of funding and what entrepreneurs have used to build successful companies.
- Here are some of the most expensive hotels in the world to book. And we mean expen$$ive.
- Always drink responsibly and when you do, try one of these more unusual and tasty drinks. Cheers!










