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Should You Run with the Tiger and Buy Exxon?

A famed stock picker is telling clients to run with the tiger and buy Exxon . Should you do the same?

We’re not talking just any money manager – we’re talking about Bill Miller who runs Legg Mason’s Value Trust Fund.

Can’t quite place the name? Miller is the money manager who became famous for outperforming the S&P 500 for 15 consecutive years in the period 1991-2005.

Yup, that Miller.

And in a recent note to clients Miller said at current levels U.S. large-cap stocks present “a once in a lifetime opportunity to buy the best quality companies in the world at bargain prices."
He went on to say, "The last time they were this cheap relative to bonds was 1951. I was 1 year old then, but did not have then sufficient sentience or capital to invest."

So where does Exxon fit into this call? Miller spotlighted Exxon in his note as a prime example.

He said, the oil giant pays a dividend yield higher than the yield on 10-year Treasuries, has increased its dividend by 9 percent a year over the past five years and has bought back between 300 million and 400 million of its shares per year, Miller wrote.

"Yet what do people want: Treasuries. What do they not want: Exxon Mobil and most other large capitalization U.S. stocks with similar characteristics," Miller wrote.

Should you follow Miller into Exxon?

I think Miller is correct, says Joe Terranova. Especially when I look at the entire integrated oil space. Investors don't appreciate the valuations. I also don't think they appreciate the positive impact on their bottom line and potential earnings growth if they acquire some of BP's assets for sale.

What do you think? We want to know!




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Trader disclosure: On July 28, 2010, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Finerman owns (AAPL); Finerman owns (BAC); Finerman’s firm owns (BAC); Finerman owns (CVS); Finerman’s firm owns (CVS); Finerman owns (FLS); Finerman’s firm owns (FLS); Finerman’s firm owns (GLW); Finerman owns (JPM); Finerman’s firm owns (JPM); Finerman’s firm owns (RIMM); Finerman’s firm owns (SKS); Kelly owns (BP) puts; Jon Najarian owns (GLD) puts; Jon Najarian owns (AAPL) call spreads; Jon Najarian owns (MSFT) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (COP) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (RRC) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (MSFT) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (SYMC) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (RIMM) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (IACI) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (LVS) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (MGM) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (XOM) and short calls; Jon Najarian owns (MOS) and short calls; Cortes owns (RSX), (GS), (MS); Cortes is short the S&P 500; Cortes is short the Yen; Cortes is short US Treasuries; Terranova owns (AMZN), (EMC), (CREE), (BRCM), (LRCX), (COP), (AXP), (BMO), (CSX), (PEP), (CVS), (GS), (PCP), (C), (APA), (FCX), (JOYG), (MMM), (MOS), (UAUA), (WYNN), (GOOG), (BBY), (SU), (KOL), (XBI), (SWN), (BAX), (JNPR); Terranova is short (GLD)

For Brian Kelly
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (ELX)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (ORI)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (VIV)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (BAK)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (AAPL) calls
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital own (UNG)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital are short (GLD)
Accounts managed by Kanundrum Capital are short (RKH)

For Joe Terranova
Terranova works for (VRTS)
Terranova is chief market strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD.
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (LPHI)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (MGRC)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLK)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (YDNT)
Virtus Investment Partners owns more than 1% of (DRYS)

For Dennis Gartman
Funds managed by Gartman own (SJT)
Funds managed by Gartman own (FAX)
Funds managed by Gartman own (BPT)

Tavis McCourt
***No Disclosures***

David Levy
***No Disclosures***

Mike Khouw
***No Disclosures***




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