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  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 7:00 PM ET

Merry Christmas From Your Friends At NetNet!

Posted By: Ash Bennington
  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 6:35 PM ET

The New Reality Of Christmas Shopping

Posted By: Lori Ann LaRocco

The sands in the hour glass are slipping away and the holiday shopping season for 2010 is about to wrap up. We saw the images of the throngs of people on Black Friday and three days later Cyber Monday hit an all new high and experts were excited about the consumer coming back. Sources tell me retailers are almost near pre-recession holiday hiring levels which bode well for the companies outlook this holiday shopping season.

But did the consumer deliver? The U.S. recovery is still far from over. The real unemployment rate is hovering around 15%. So which stores did shoppers part with their money and what was the mall traffic to bag ratio like? For all this, I asked, Brian Sozzi, Research Analyst of Wall Street Strategies who specializes in the apparel/hardline goods sectors of the retail industry.

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  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 12:42 PM ET

Intrade Opens a Betting Line on Brian Moynihan's Head

Posted By: Ash Bennington
Brian Moynihan
Fabrice Coffrini | AFP | Getty Images
Brian Moynihan

As of this morning, you can now bet on whether the CEO of Bank of America, Brian Moynihan, will get whacked by his board of directors.

Merry Christmas, Mr. Moynihan.

Moynihan's future at BofA now joins bets about the weather, election speculation -- and the possible observation of a" hypothetical massive scalar elementary particle "called the Higgs boson."

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  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 12:01 PM ET

Portugal Downgraded By Fitch

Posted By: Ash Bennington

Fitch Research has just downgraded Portuguese sovereign debt to A+ from AA-.

This downgrade puts Portugal's sovereign debt rating only three cuts above junk bond status.

Fitch also placed Portugal on 'Negative Outlook' -- which may mean more downgrades are coming.

lisbon portugal
Ilan Arad | Getty Images
lisbon portugal

Fitch Research announced the downgrade in a news alert on its website.

"Fitch Ratings has downgraded Portugal's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) to 'A+' from 'AA-' and Short-term foreign currency rating to 'F1' from 'F1+'. The agency has simultaneously affirmed Portugal's Euro Area Country Ceiling at 'AAA'. The Outlooks on the Long-term IDRs are Negative," Fitch said.

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  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 11:44 AM ET

Bank of America Loses Key Battle In Mortgage Fraud Fight

Posted By: John Carney

A New York court ruled yesterday that a bond insurer claiming Bank of America’s Countrywide unit fraudulently induced it to insure $21 billion of mortgage-backed securities can use statistical sampling to prove its case.

Judge Eileen Bransten granted a motion to allow the insurer, MBIA, to use statistical sampling, turning down the objections by Bank of America.

Bank of America had told investors that it intended to fight repurchase requests—also known as put-backs —on a “loan-by-loan basis.” That process would have required MBIA and others seeking to force Bank of America to buy back loans it pooled into mortgage securities to proceed one loan at a time, a costly and time-consuming process.

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  Thursday, 23 Dec 2010 | 10:11 AM ET

Denmark Throws A Fit Over Liquidity Rules

Posted By: Ash Bennington

Did China Intercede on the United States' Behalf with North Korea? (Wall Street Journal) "The U.S. government believes China intervened with North Korea to
tamp down growing tensions on the peninsula—a sign, officials said, that Beijing may be willing to take a tougher stance toward its erratic neighbor. "

Irish Government Pours another €3.7 Billion into Banks (Wall Street Journal) "Ireland's Finance Minister Brian Lenihan Thursday announced plans to recapitalize Allied Irish Banks PLC by €3.7 billion ($3.93 billion) to meet the financial regulator's year-end capital requirements, effectively making it the fourth Irish lender to be nationalized."

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  Wednesday, 22 Dec 2010 | 4:45 PM ET

The Ultimate Contrarian Indicator

Posted By: Ash Bennington

CNBC's Jeff Cox: Is the Popularity of Equities the Ultimate Contrarian Indicator? \(CNBC\)

"With investor sentiment bubbling at levels comparable to just before the market's historic highs in 2007, now may be the time to pull back some before the froth gets out of hand. Strategists are almost universal in expectations for the market to climb from 10 percent to 20 percent in 2011, and investor polls show bullishness around 60 percent. Those are numbers reminiscent of October 2007, just before the worst of the financial crisis hit and the market lost more than half its value."

Bank Bonus Dip is Global \(Reuters\)

"From Wall Street to the City of London to Hong Kong's Central District, bankers are bracing for bonuses to be down 7 percent on average from a year ago, and higher salaries will only partially cushion the hit, a Reuters/IFR global poll shows. Some finance industry professionals are expecting drops as steep as 30 percent after weak trading results that are depressing bank profits and shrinking the bonus pool, according to the poll of more than 25 professionals. Unlike in other industries, bankers typically rely on year-end bonuses for a large portion of their yearly compensation."

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  Wednesday, 22 Dec 2010 | 4:18 PM ET

DE Shaw's Party Was Way Better Than Blackstone's

Posted By: John Carney

Were told by someone who attended both the Blackstone Group's 25th anniversary party at the Metropolitan Museum of Art last month and DE Shaws party at the New York Public Library last week, that the DE Shaw party was much, much better.

In the first place, it was a better crowd. It was younger, and the dates people brought were much better looking, the person said.

The person described the atmosphere as very different also. At Blackstone's Met party, people were acting very self-consciously low-key. They were huddled into little groups. But at the DE Shaw party people were, actually, partying, mixing, flirting and chatting.

Ironically, the New York Public Library is now officially called the Stephen A. Schwarzman Building, named for the founder of the Blackstone Group.

»Read more
  Wednesday, 22 Dec 2010 | 3:52 PM ET

Possible Foreclosure Freeze in NJ?

Posted By: Ash Bennington

Six mortgage lenders in New Jersey have been ordered by the State Supreme Court to appear on January 19th -- to demonstrate why the state should not suspend their foreclosure actions.

The Chief Justice of the New Jersey Supreme Court, Stuart J. Rabner, spoke out on the matter during a conference call with reporters: "It’s important that the judiciary ensures judges are

»Read more
  Wednesday, 22 Dec 2010 | 2:47 PM ET

A 2+20 Payout from Trading Tweets?

Posted By: Ash Bennington

There's really no middle ground on this one: Trading stocks based on data collected through Twitter is either sheer genius or abject stupidity.

Twitter
Source: Twitter
Twitter



Derwent Capital Markets, a hedge fund, is going to begin trading in February based on just such a model.

Their trading model will be based on such things as " the number of times words on Twitter such as “calm” rise above or below average" According to a paper published jointly by the University of Manchester and Indiana University, "A change in emotions expressed online would be followed between two and six days later by a move in the index, the researchers said, and this information let them predict its movements with 87.6 percent accuracy."

Does the excessive precision of that citation bother you a little?

Yeah, me too.

There's really no middle ground on this one: Trading stocks based on data collected through Twitter is either sheer genius or abject stupidity.

» Read More

About NetNet

  • NetNet is where you'll find the low-down and the high jinks of Wall Street. It's the place for insider stories, trader gossip, and tales of the foibles of the moneyed crowd and the culture of finance.Wall Street news and commentary served fresh all day long.

 

  • Jeff Cox is finance editor for CNBC.com.

  • Lawrence Develingne

    Lawrence Delevingne is the ‘Big Money’ enterprise reporter for CNBC.com and NetNet.

  • Stephanie Landsman is one of the producers of "Fast Money."

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