After a Tepid November, Will the Markets Be Up in December?

Following a tepid performance in November for stocks, will the markets be up in December?

Here is a look at how the major US averages perform during this month historically.

S&P 500

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1971, December is the best month of the year for the S&P 500, up 75% of the time with an average move of 1.6%
  • In the past 20 years, the S&P closed up in December 16 times, or 80% of the time
  • The best December in the past 20 years was recorded on 1991 with a gain of 11.16%
  • The average gain during this period stands at 1.79%


Dow

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1950, December is the second best month of the year for the Dow, up 69% of the time with an average move of 1.7%
  • In the past 20 years, the Dow closed up in December 14 times, or 70% of the time
  • The best December in the past 20 years was recorded on 1991 with a gain of 9.47%
  • The average gain during this period stands at 1.69%


NASDAQ Composite

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1971, December is the second best month of the year for the NASDAQ, up 58% of the time with an average move of 1.9%
  • In the past 20 years, the NASDAQ closed up in December 12 times, or 60% of the time
  • The best December in the past 20 years was recorded on 1999 with a gain of 21.98%
  • The average gain during this period stands at 2.67%
  • Note that the average gain is 1.65%, when the 21.98% move in 1999 is removed, assuming that it is an outlier



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