GO
Loading...

‘Shove It’ Indicator Turns Positive: More People Quitting

Call it the “Take This Job and Shove It” indicator. The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that an increasing number of people are quitting their jobs, a sign of an upturn in consumer confidence and the economy, according to one economist.

“There is one area where there does appear to be some additional risk taking, and that is seen in the number of people leaving their jobs,” said Don Rissmiller, economist for Strategas Research Partners. “The last time we saw an inflection point of this sort in the number of people quitting their jobs, we were at the end of the last ‘jobless recovery’ in 2003.”

In October 2 million individuals quit their jobs, up from 1.7 million during the same month a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On its web site, the BLS states, “Quits tend to rise when there is a perception that another job is available and tend to fall when there is a perception that jobs are scarce.”

The rise in quitting is accompanied by an increase in the job outlook in the latest survey by staffing firm Manpower and an ISM survey of managers indicating bigger capital expenditures planned for next year, Rissmiller points out in his note.

Also, shares of staffing firms, such as Robert Half and Manpower, are at 52-week highs, hinting that hiring could be picking up.

This data is in sharp contrast to the scare that traders received last week. Employers added just 39,000 workers in November to their payrolls, much less than economists expected, according to the report out on Friday. The unemployment rate increased to 9.8 percent.

The stock market has been doing more than ok with this jobless recovery, up 80 percent from its 12 ½ year low hit in March 2009. However, investors are starting to indicate they want to see more plans for growth (i.e. hiring) in order to bid shares even higher. Not to mention the boost it would give consumer spending.

“Employment is the US economy’s teeter totter,” wrote Brian Belski, Oppenheimer’s Chief Investment Strategist, in his 2011 outlook note released this week. “An employment recovery means the economy is improving, which drives higher incomes, increasing consumption and better overall investor, corporate and public psychology.”

The stock market recovered from that poor jobs report to new highs on optimism the tax compromise announced by President Obama would incentivize companies to increase hiring. The deal also includes a payroll tax cut, a direct injection into the public’s wallets.

They could use the money. According to Friday’s jobs report, wages were essentially flat. Higher wages will be necessary as well to keep this recovery going, traders said. And don’t forget, the singer who put “Take This Job and Shove It” on the charts was Johnny Paycheck.

* For the best market insight, catch 'Fast Money' each night at 5pm ET, and the ‘Halftime Report’ each afternoon at 12:30 ET on CNBC.

______________________________________________________
Got something to say? Send us an e-mail at fastmoney-web@cnbc.com and your comment might be posted on the Rapid Recap! If you'd prefer to make a comment, but not have it published on our Web site, send your message to fastmoney@cnbc.com.

Trader disclosure: On December 8, 2010, following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Terranova Owns (C), (GS), (NKE), (OXY), (PEP), (PFE), (VRTS), (UPL); Terranova Owns (GLD) puts; Adami owns (AGU), (BTU), (NUE), (C), (GS), INTC), (MSFT); Adami’s wife works at Merck; Finerman owns (AAPL); Finerman owns (BAC); Finerman & Finerman’s Firm owns (JPM); Finerman’s firm owns (MCD); Finerman & Finerman’s Firm owns (MSFT); Finerman’s firm owns (OCR); Finerman’s firm owns (TJX); Finerman’s firm owns (YUM); Finerman’s firm is short (IJR); Finerman’s firm is short (MDY); Finerman’s firm is short (SPY); Finerman’s firm is short (IWM); Finerman’s firm owns S&P 500 and Russell 2000 puts; Pete Najarian owns (C); Pete Najarian owns (MCD); Pete Najarian owns (MS); Pete Najarian owns (SMH); Pete Najarian owns (YHOO); Cortes Owns (TSN); Cortes Owns (TM); Cortes is short (XRT) vs. S&P 500; Cortes is short (LVS); Cortes is long USD vs. Mexican Peso; Cortes is short Corn; Cortes owns U.S. 2-Year and 30-Year Treasuries

For Joe Terranova
Terranova is Chief Market Strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (ABAX)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (ALK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CCG)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CSVI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EPR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (FCFS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (KRC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LPHI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (MGRC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (NRCI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (YDNT)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DRYS)

For Simon Baker
Baker Ave. owns (DOV)
Baker Ave. owns (ASF)

For Mike Khouw
Cantor Fitzgerald makes a market in (JPM)

For Brian Kelly
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (DE) Call Spreads
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (DRYS) Calls
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (MON)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (MCP)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (TBT)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (SPY) Put Spreads
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (GDXJ) straddles


Symbol
Price
 
Change
%Change
MA
---
RHI
---