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Is Goldman No Longer a Money Machine

Again, Goldman Sachs landed in the spotlight, this time after JPMorgan downgraded the firm suggesting it’s best days may be behind it.

Well behind it, in the near-term.

On Wednesday, analysts knocked Goldman to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Overweight’ saying they think shares are fully valued right now and that upside is limited as the bank faces regularly overhaul from the Dodd-Frank Act.

Specifically, they say "Goldman Sachs potentially has the most to lose from new regulation," a reference to the Volcker rules, which restrict banks from trading with their own capital.

Documents released earlier in the week showed Goldman’s prop trading profits, which includes the bank's bets with its own money -- accounted for nearly 30 percent of pre-tax earnings in the first three quarters of 2010, according to Reuters.

"I see the concerns for the short-term valuations," says Anthony Scaramucci of Skybridge Capital on CNBC's Fast Money. "The bulk of their profitability comes from their prop trading."

However, he points out that the JPMorgan note isn't necessarily bearish on Goldman in the long-term. The note also said, Overall, it is difficult to argue against Goldman Sachs's employee talent pool.”

In fact Scaramucci thinks that talent poll makes the stock is a 'Buy' if you have a longer time horizon. "They have a great management team, and a deep bench. It’s a fantastic franchise," he says.



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Trader disclosure: On January 12, 2010, following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Terranova owns (GM); Terranova owns (C); Terranova owns (VRTS); Terranova owns (UPL); Terranova owns (PEP); Terranova owns (OXY); Terranova owns (GS); Terranova owns (LTD); Terranova owns (CNQ); Terranova owns (PVH); Terranova owns (CVI); Terranova owns (GLD) puts; Adami owns (AGU); Adami owns (C); Adami owns (BTU); Adami owns (GS); Adami owns (INTC); Adami owns (MSFT); Adami owns (NUE); Adami's wife works at (MRK); Finerman's firm is short (MDY); Finerman's firm is short (SPY); Finerman's firm is short (IWM); Finerman's firm is long S&P puts; Finerman's firm is long Russell 2000 puts; Finerman owns (AAPL); Finerman owns (BAC); Finerman's firm owns (BBY); Finerman owns (BP); Finerman's firm owns (BP); Finerman's owns (GOOG); Finerman owns (HPQ); Finerman's firm owns (HPQ); Finerman's firm owns (IBM); Finerman owns (JPM) and (JPM) leaps; Finerman's firm owns (JPM) and (JPM) leaps; Finerman owns (MSFT); Finerman's firm owns (MSFT); Finerman's firm owns (TGT); Finerman's firm owns (WMT)

For Joe Terranova
Terranova is Chief Market Strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (ABAX)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CCG)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CSVI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (FCFS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
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Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LPHI)
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Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
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Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLE)
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Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (YDNT)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CLB)


For Brian Kelly
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (FCX)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (GDXJ) straddles
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (GLD)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (TBT)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (MON)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (IPI)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (ANDE)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (USD)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short The Euro
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short The Yen

For Joshua Brown
Brown owns (AAPL)
Brown owns (AAPL) for clients
Brown owns (AMZN) for clients
Brown owns (BAC)
Brown owns (BAC) for clients
Brown owns (BP) for clients
Brown owns (C)
Brown owns (C) for clients
Brown owns (DBA)
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Brown owns (DIS) for clients
Brown owns (GE) for clients
Brown owns (GS) for clients
Brown owns (GLD)
Brown owns (GLD) for clients
Brown owns (GOOG) for clients
Brown owns (IWM) for clients
Brown owns (JNJ) for clients
Brown owns (JPM)
Brown owns (JPM) for clients
Brown owns (MOO)
Brown owns (MOO) for clients
Brown owns (MOS)
Brown owns (MOS) for clients
Brown owns (MSFT)
Brown owns (MSFT) for clients
Brown owns (POT)
Brown owns (QCOM)
Brown owns (QCOM) for clients
Brown owns (SBNY)
Brown owns (VZ)
Brown owns (VZ) for clients
Brown owns (WFC)
Brown owns (WFC) for clients
Brown owns (XOM) for clients

For Anthony Scaramucci
Scaramucci and Skybridge Capital Own (GS)

For Dennis Gartman
Dennis Gartman is long March KC Wheat
Dennis Gartman is long soybeans
Dennis Gartman is short the Yen
Dennis Gartman is long the Canadian Dollar
Dennis Gartman is long the Aussie Ddcollar
Dennis Gartman is long gold, short sterling
Dennis Gartman is short the Euro

For Steve Cortes
Cortes is long U.S. Treasuries

For Mike Khouw
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co is a market maker in (GOOG), (AAPL), (IBM)

For Brian Kelly Fast Fire SOT
No disclosures

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