GO
Loading...

Breakdown: The Stock Market on Valentine's Day

U.S. major indexes have not shown much love on Valentine's Day, with the S&P 500 trading up only 40 percent of the time.

February is historically the second most negative month for both the Dow and S&P, and the third most negative month for the NASDAQ, so it is not surprising that Valentine's Day does not provide a lot of love for the markets.

Here is a look at how the markets perform on Valentine's Day.

- Dow since 1897

Valentine’s Day

  • Up 51% of the time, with an average loss of -0.003%
  • Biggest gain: 2.05% in 2003
  • Biggest drop: -4.3% in 1933
  • The Dow has closed down 5 out of the last 10 years on Feb. 14 (Note that in 2010, 2009, 2004, & 1998-1999 Valentine's Day fell on a weekend)

February

  • Up 50% of the time with an average decline of -0.28%
  • The Best February was in 1931 when it increased 12.4%, and the worst was in 1933 when it fell -15.6%

1-Month After Valentine’s Day

  • Up 54% of the time with an average gain of 0.13%
  • Biggest gain: 10.3% in 1989
  • Biggest drop: -17.8% in 1907

- S&P 500 since 1928

Valentine’s Day

  • Up 40% of the time, with an average loss of -0.14%
  • Biggest gain: 2.14% in 2003
  • Biggest drop: -5.11% in 1933
  • The S&P has closed down 5 out of the last 10 years on Feb. 14 (Note that in 2010, 2009, 2004, & 1998-1999 Valentine's Day fell on a weekend)

February

  • Up 51% of the time with an average decline of -0.25%
  • The Best February was in 1931 when it increased 11.37%, and the worst was in 1933 when it fell -18.4%

1-Month After Valentine’s Day

  • Up 55% of the time with an average loss of -0.21%
  • Biggest gain: 9.6% in 1974
  • Biggest drop: -11.34% in 2001

- NASDAQ Composite since 1972

Valentine’s Day

  • Up 64% of the time, with an average gain of 0.16%
  • Biggest gain: 2.62% in 2001
  • Biggest drop: -1.74% in 2008
  • The S&P has closed down 3 out of the last 10 years on Feb. 14 (Note that in 2010, 2009, 2004, 1999 and1998 Valentine's Day fell on a weekend)

February

  • Up 49% of the time with an average gain of 0.21%
  • The Best February was in 2000 when it increased 19.2%, and the worst was in 2001 when it fell -22.4%

1-Month After Valentine’s Day

  • Up 64% of the time with an average loss of -0.35%
  • Biggest gain: 6.58% in 1974
  • Biggest drop: -20.8% in 2001

Despite marginal losses for the major U.S. averages during Valentine's, the companies below have performed relatively well leading into the holiday in the last 6 years. Note that most of these companies seem to trail down after February 14.

Follow us on Twitter @By_The_NumbersComments? Send them to bythenumbers@cnbc.com

bythenumbers.cnbc.com