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Will the Market Continue its Run in March?

All three major US indexes are up more than 20% in the past seven months. Will they continue their run in March?

Here is a look at how the major US averages perform during this month historically.

S&P 500, up 26% in the past 6 months

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1950, March is the fifth best month of the year for the S&P 500, up 63% of the time with an average move of 1.1%
  • In the past 20 years, the S&P closed up in March 13 times, or 65% of the time
  • 7 out of 11 times that February was positive in the past 20 years, March was also positive, posting an average gain of 2.7%
  • The best March in the past 20 years was recorded in 2000 with a gain of 8.8%
  • The average gain during the 20-year period stands at 1.1%


Note: Gray column indicates a positive February followed by a positive March
Dow, up 21% in the past 6 months

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1950, March is the fifth best month of the year for the Dow, up 65% of the time with an average move of 1.0%
  • In the past 20 years, the Dow closed up in March 13 times, or 65% of the time
  • 8 out of 12 times that February was positive in the past 20 years, March was also positive, posting an average gain of 2.6%
  • The best March in the past 20 years was recorded in 2000 with a gain of 7.8%
  • The average gain during the 20-year period stands at 1.1%



NASDAQ Composite, up 30% in the past 6 months

  • According to the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1971, March is the seventh best month of the year for the NASDAQ, up 64% of the time with an average move of 0.6%
  • In the past 20 years, the NASDAQ closed up in March 13 times, or 65% of the time
  • 6 out of 8 times that February was positive in the past 20 years, March was also positive, posting an average gain of 3.4%
  • The best March in the past 20 years was recorded in 2009 with a gain of 10.9%
  • The average gain the 20-year period stands at 0.64%



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