GO
Loading...

Late Reversal Leaves S&P at Key Technical Level

Monday, 28 Mar 2011 | 6:10 PM ET

A late reversal on Wall Street dragged down both the Dow and S&P.

What should you make of it as the quarter draws to a close?

Trader Steve Grasso feels the S&P closed at a key technical level, 1310. "If that level doesn’t hold the next stop is 1300," he says.

And Grasso's bias is to the downside. He later tells the desk he thinks the market tests 1249 sooner rather than later but also thinks the quarter closes before that happens.

Tim Seymour feels it tough to make a defining call considering the weakness in the market came minutes before the close. He seems to expect the market to trade sideways. "I think April will be a good run until we run out of gas on valuation," he says.

Joe Terranova's bias is higher. He's pored over some historical data and tells the desk that since Labor Day the market has rallied in every month (except for November) from the 1st through the 20th of the month. In other words, the lion's share of the gains came in the first 3 weeks. That suggests to Terranova, the market will climb as soon as late week.

Karen Finerman is watching the Vix . She says, “it’s come in dramatically." In this environment she thinks it’s worth putting on some protection.

-----------

OIL CLOSES LOWER

Elsewhere in the market, oil closed lower, as Libyan rebels regained key territory and redoubled efforts to resume oil exports.

Word on the Street
Oil pulls back on Libyan rebel successes, while explorers and refineries rise. At the same time, coal stocks slide after Goldman downgrades Peabody. And smaller telecom stocks make a big comeback after the AT&T/T-Mobile marriage, with Will Power, RW Paird analyst, CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.

What’s the trade?

Steve Grasso says the smart money is shorting the energy complex. "Off the 1249 low on the S&P, the XLE is up 9%," he explains. "I spoke to a bunch of fund managers today who are re-shorting at this level. They had their faces taken off, they had to cover and now they're laying out those shorts again."

Joe Terranova is on the other side; he remains bullish energy. "Seasonally this is the time of year that refiners do well. I don’t see any reason to scale down your position,” he says. He likes CNQ, CVI , PBR and XOM.


-----------

TOPPING THE TAPE: INDUSTRIALS

The traders have Honeywell on the radar with the stock hitting a 52 week high after positive mentions in Barron’s. Also Caterpillar hit an all time intraday high.

What’s the trade?

Although he thinks its a great company Tim Seymour thinks Honeywell looks a little rich. “Nothing in the sector is cheap,” he says.

Steve Grasso agrees. “Honeywell is probably overpriced, here.” He also counsels, “wait until we know more about market direction before you jump into any of these names.”

In this space Joe Terranova is watching Alcoa. “The potential for earnings upgrades are there,” he says. “I think there’s more upside.”


-----------


CALL OF THE DAY: WIRELESS

Baird Analyst Will Power gave bulls a reason to run on Monday after he upgraded ratings on four wireless carriers.

Power lifted ratings for AT&T, Verizon, MetroPCS and Leap Wireless to "Outperform" from "Neutral."

He also lifted price targets for the four stocks: $34 for AT&T, up from his prior $30; $42 for Verizon, up from $36; $22 for MetroPCS, up from $14; and $19 for Leap Wireless, up from $14.

The bullish outlook largely stems from AT&T’s deal to acquire T-Mobile, which he thinks benefits the industry as a whole.

Get all the details. Watch the video now!






______________________________________________________
Got something to to say? Send us an e-mail at fastmoney-web@cnbc.com and your comment might be posted on the Rapid Recap. If you'd prefer to make a comment but not have it published on our Web site send those e-mails to fastmoney@cnbc.com.

Trader disclosure: On March 28, 2011, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Grasso Owns (AMD); Grasso Owns (ASTM); Grasso Owns (BA); Grasso Owns (BAC); Grasso Owns (C); Grasso Owns (CPX); Grasso Owns (CSCO); Grasso Owns (D); Grasso Owns (JPM); Grasso Owns (LIT); Grasso Owns (LPX); Grasso Owns (MHY); Grasso Owns (NDAQ); Grasso Owns (PFE); Grasso Owns (PRST); Finerman's Firm Is Short (IJR); Finerman's Firm Is Short (MDY); Finerman's Firm Is Short (SPY); Finerman's Firm Is Long S&P Puts; Finerman's Firm Is Long Russell 2000 Puts; Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (AAPL); Finerman's Firm Owns (BAC) Leap; Finerman Owns (BAC); Finerman Owns (C); Finerman Owns (GOOG); Finerman's Firm Owns (JPM), (JPM) Leaps; Finerman Owns (JPM); Finerman's Firm Owns (TGT); Finerman's Firm Owns (WMT); Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (MSFT); Terranova Owns (VRTS); Terranova Owns (C); Terranova Owns (GS); Terranova Owns (JPM); Terranova Owns (UPL); Terranova Owns (MS); Terranova Owns (PBR); Terranova Owns (BAX); Terranova Owns (TEVA); Terranova Owns (IBM); Terranova Owns (XOM); Terranova Owns (JNPR); Terranova Owns (AAPL), (AAPL) Puts; Terranova Owns (AKAM), (AKAM) Calls; Terranova Owns (DIS); Terranova Owns (CVI); Terranova Owns (RSX); Terranova Owns (CNQ); Terranova Owns (BTU); Terranova Owns (CNX) Puts

For Steve Grasso:
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (CSCO)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (CUBA)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (GERN)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (HPQ)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (HSPO)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (MSFT)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (NYX)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (PFE)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (PRST)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (SDS)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Own (XRX)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Are Short (QQQQ)
Stuart Frankel & Co. And Its Partners Are Short (AAPL)

For Joe Terranova
Terranova is Chief Market Strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (ABAX)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CCG)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CSVI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (FCFS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (KRC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LPHI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (NCRI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLF)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (YDNT)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DOM)

For Brian Kelly
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (EBAY)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (SLV)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (GLD)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (RDC)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (VLO)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (TSO)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (MON)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Own (BBT)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Long U.S. Dollar
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Long Gold
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Long Silver
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Long Wheat
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short Copper
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short Yen
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short (XLF)
Accounts Managed By Kanundrum Capital Are Short (IXG)

For Dennis Gartman
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Long Canadian Dollars, Australian Dollars, Swiss Franc
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Long Gold, Corn, Soybeans
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Long Crude, Natural Gas
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Short Euros
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Short Sterling
Funds Managed By Dennis Gartman Are Short Yen

For Joshua Brown
***No Disclosures On KOP

For Mike Khouw
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. Is A Market Maker In (POT)

For Anthony Scaramucci
SkyBridge Capital Is A Fund Of Funds Manager
Funds Held May Or May Not Own The Recommended Securities

For Robin Farley
(LVS), (WYNN) Is Or In Past 12 Months Has Been An Investment Banking Client Of UBS Securities LLC
UBS Securities LLC Has Recieved Compensation From (LVS), (WYNN) In Past 12 Months
UBS AG, Affiliates Or Subsidiaries Owned 1% Or More Of (WYNN) As Of Last Month's End

For William Power
Robert W. Baird & Co. Is A Market Maker In (VZ), (S), (T), (LEAP), (PCS)
Robert W. Baird & Co. And/Or Affiliates Expects To Receive/Seek Investment
Banking Compensation From (VZ), (S), (T), (LEAP), (PCS) In Next 3 Months

For Zachary Karabell
***No Disclosures On GSIC, EBAY
River Twice Capital Owned (GSIC) On 11/29/10

Karen Finerman/SOT
Finerman's Firm Owned (TGT) On 3/2/11


CNBC.com and wires

  Price   Change %Change
DJIA
---
S&P 500
---
AA
---
CAT
---
CNQ
---
CVI
---
HON
---
LWI
---
PETR'
---
TMUS
---
T
---
VIX
---
VZ
---
XOM
---

Contact Fast Money

  • Showtimes

    Halftime Report - Weekdays 12p ET
    Fast Money - Weekdays 5p ET
  • Melissa Lee is the host of CNBC's “Fast Money” and “Options Action.”

  • Scott Wapner is host of the "Fast Money Halftime Report," which airs weekdays from 12 p.m. to 1 p.m. ET.

  • Guy Adami is a contributor on CNBC's "Fast Money." He also is managing director of stockMONSTER.com.

  • Najarian, the "Pit Boss," is cofounder of optionMONSTER.com, a news site for options traders.

  • Finerman is president of Metropolitan Capital Advisors, Inc., a company she co-founded.

  • Founder of EmergingMoney.com

  • Chief Market Strategist for Virtus Investment Partners & CNBC Contributor

Halftime Report