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Nuke Stocks Fall on Unexpected Factor—Germany

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Published: Monday, 28 Mar 2011 | 3:42 PM ET
Bob Pisani By:

CNBC "On-Air Stocks" Editor

Nuclear stocks, which saw a brief rally a week and a half ago as it appeared that Japan's nuclear crisis might be manageable, have been sinking for several days again. Cameco , USEC , Uranium Energy , Uranerz , and Denison Mines all down 4 to 8 percent today.

But there's another reason for the weakness in nuclear stocks, one much more ominous: German Chancellor Angela Merkel's party lost state elections in Baden-Wuerttemberg, which they had been governing in an alliance with the Free Democrats.

But this time the Green Party, formerly a marginal force, won nearly a quarter of the votes. The new coalition will likely be strongly anti-nuclear. Since Germany gets nearly a quarter of its energy from nuclear, this is not a good sign for the nuclear industry. The Christian Democrats have held power for in Baden-Wuerttemberg for 58 years — their loss there is not a good sign for other elections.

Of course, this means uranium prices have been dropping like a rock. RBC recently dropped its spot price forecast for 2011 to $69 a pound from $80 a pound, and their 2012 forecast to $77.50 a pound from $100.

So who's the winner? Well, duh: Green Party? Solar stocks are all up 2 to 6 percent.

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Nuclear stocks, which saw a brief rally a week and a half ago as it appeared that the nuclear crisis might be manageable, have been sinking for several days again. But there's another reason for the weakness in nuclear stocks, one much more ominous.
  Price   Change %Change
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  • A CNBC reporter since 1990, Pisani reports on Wall Street and the stock market from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Follow him on Twitter @BobPisani.

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