Who Will Buy the Foreclosures?
Not to sound like a broken record, but only when we work through the vast inventory and shadow inventory of foreclosed properties, can home prices bottom and housing recover overall. Obviously certain markets are more burdened by the distress than others, but it's a universal truth.
In April, however, the percentage of investors and all-cash buyers in the market dropped a bit. Investors have been buying the lion's share of foreclosures, as first-time home buyers continue to play a very small role in housing's recovery. First-time buyers should be about 40 percent of the market, but realtors say they are now about 36 percent. They made up nearly half of the market last Spring, but that was all thanks to the home buyer tax credit.
In addition to a tough job and mortgage market, first-time buyers are also looking at a lot of work when buying a foreclosed property.
I found this survey from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance particularly interesting this month:
For the month of April, 45% of foreclosed properties were damaged and not inhabitable without renovation. Because mortgage financing is generally not available for foreclosed properties that need major repairs, investors often buy these properties for cash. Fifty-five percent of damaged foreclosed properties were bought by investors in the month of April, while only 27% were bought by first-time homebuyers.
That also tells me that barely 18 percent were bought by move-up buyers.
Investors want to rehab these places and flip them as soon as possible, but today they are being forced to put them up for rent as first-time buyer demand is still weak.
The share of first time buyers is there, but they are not in the distressed market as much as they need to be to absorb that inventory.