Skip navigation

Money & Politics

WEEKNIGHTS 7P ET


Current DateTime: 01:10:21 23 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 33310671

SHOW TIMES

CNBC US:
Weeknights 7p ET

CNBC Asia:
Saturday 07:00 SIN/HK

RSS FEED

» Help

Current DateTime: 01:10:21 23 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 28775123

MOST SHARED


Current DateTime: 01:10:21 23 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 31330905
Expiration DateTime: 2/23/2012 1:12:45 AM

LATEST VIDEO

Get RSS Feed

» More

Current DateTime: 01:10:21 23 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 28776292
    • Crude Realities: Obama's Oil Headache  22 Feb 2012

        Are President Obama's policies responsible for the rising gas prices? James Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute, and Dean Baker, Center for Economic and Policy Research, debate.

    • Michigan: A Must-Win for Mitt Romney?  22 Feb 2012

        Robert Costa, National Review, has the latest details on the GOP race, and discussing whether Romney's 20% tax plan will be a game changer in Michigan's primary, with David Freddoso, The Washington Examiner; Jason Mattera, Human Events; and Tony Fratto, fmr. White House deputy press secy.

    • Will Global Rally Continue?  22 Feb 2012

        Discussing whether there is an economic rebound brewing and how to play the recovery, with Pippa Malmgren, Principalis Asset Management, and Russ Koesterich, BlackRock iShares Group.

CONTACT US

Comments? Questions?
We want to hear from you!
E-mail:

Boneheaded Stimulus Never Works

Published: Wednesday, 1 Jun 2011 | 7:18 PM ET
Text Size
By: Larry Kudlow
CNBC Anchor

With a flamboyant downgrade of the outlook for economic growth, jobs and profits, Wednesday’s 280-point Dow plunge to launch the so-called June stock swoon is a warning shot across the bow.

The Dow tanked alongside a batch of dismal economic data. The ISM manufacturing index, ADP employment, Case-Shiller home prices, and consumer confidence are all pointing to 2 percent growth or less, rather than the kind of 5 percent growth we ought to be getting coming out of a deep recession.

The economy now looks like a Government Motors engine that’s stalling out. Or perhaps, with energy and food inflation, and housing deflation at the same time, the economy is acting like a pinball machine on permanent tilt.

There’s a key message here: Big-government stimulus never works.

First there was the massive Obama stimulus spending. Then QE1 (The Fed's quantitative-easing program). And now QE2 is winding down. And what did we get for all this? Slower growth overall, paltry job creation, more energy and commodities inflation, continued housing deflation, and virtually no new business start-up entrepreneurship.

We know the Obama spending package failed to create a 7 to 8 percent unemployment rate, as advertised. And now we’re learning that the Fed’s QE2 has actually done more harm than good.

All that money-printing stimulus worked to depreciate the dollar and jack-up commodity prices, especially oil and gasoline, but also food. So both companies and consumers have been punished.

Some demand-side boneheads on Wall Street want the Fed to move to QE3, allegedly to fight a stalling economy. But if the central bank prints another $600 billion or so, all that will do is sink the greenback another 10 percent and drive oil and gasoline prices higher and higher. And that, in turn, will slow business and consumers even more.

The Japanese disaster is undoubtedly playing a role in the manufacturing slump — probably a bigger role than most economists predicted. Production supplies are scarce or non-existent, especially for autos and electronics, but also for many other sectors of the economy.

Then, of course, there’s all the bad weather: Hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods have depressed all kinds of economic activity here at home.

There also are jitters about the ongoing saga in Greece. The potential for a Greek bond default and various credit-agency downgrades are taking a toll on stock markets around the world.

But this whole boom-and-bust monetary policy, with its blatant disregard for King Dollar, is a snare and a delusion. Stabilize the greenback by linking it to gold. Then move to the supply-side: Slash individual and business tax burdens, roll back enormous regulatory costs, and stop the merciless threat of higher future taxes.

If there was a serious pro-growth movement in Washington to accelerate tax-reform overhaul and pin-back regulatory barriers like the NLRB war with Boeing [BA  Loading...      ()   ], the EPA war against energy, and the Obamacare threats that are too numerous to count, that just might revive the animal spirits. But what we know for sure is that small businesses are barely hiring today, and that brand new startups are few and far between.

What’s lacking here is confidence.

No, we’re not going into a double-dip recession. The most important indicator is the Treasury yield curve, which is still very steeply sloped. And businesses are profitable. Those profits have been the backbone of what little growth we’ve had in the last two years. And they’re the mother’s milk of the stock market.

But the point is, without real growth policies, there’s not much to cheer about in the market or the economy. We’re muddling along. It could even be called a growth recession.

Wednesday’s 280-point Dow drop is a cry for help. Is anybody listening?

Questions? Comments, send your emails to:

© 2012 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

CNBC HIGHLIGHTS

  • ETF Strategist | Fixed income
  • The economy is heating up but the Fed isn’t letting up. How do you play the fixed-income market?
  • With its rich oil reserves and rampant corruption, Azerbaijan poses a dilemma for U.S. policy makers.
  • Business owners should occasionally consider giving their work for free. Here are several reasons why.
  • Chris Christie and Warren Buffett
  • GOP Governor Chris Christie wants Warren Buffett to stop talking about higher taxes on the super-rich.
  • London Olympic Rental
  • There’s a shortage of hotel rooms in London for the Olympics, so many locals are renting out their opulent private homes.
  • Boston Beer will be creating a special commemorative brew, the Samuel Adams Boston 26.2, to mark this year's Boston Marathon.


Current DateTime: 01:18:33 22 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 29778428

Current DateTime: 03:38:29 22 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 29779196

Current DateTime: 12:30:56 22 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 29779197

Current DateTime: 11:00:30 22 Feb 2012
LinksList Documentid: 29779199
CNBCCNBC
About CNBC  |  Site Map  |  Video Reprints   |  Advertise  |  Help  |  Contact
Privacy Policy  |     |  Terms of Service  |  Independent Programming Report
  Data is a real-time snapshot  *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes
Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis

© 2012 CNBC LLC.  All Rights Reserved.
A Division of NBCUniversal
Thomson ReutersThomson Reuters