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Fourth-Quarter Market Rally Would Be BAD: Investment Pro

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Published: Monday, 3 Oct 2011 | 12:24 PM ET
Natalie Erlich By: | Writer/Producer
Repositioning Your Portfolio for Q4
We are hanging on to every word out of Europe, says Paul Schatz, Heritage Capital, president. He adds, it's not healthy at some point we need a resolution to get the system flowing again. As we enter Q4, the markets will bottom in October and rally in November, he says.

"It would be good to cleanse the bowels of the system right now, rather than keep hanging on," he explained. "Until we get a flushing of the system, people are going to be very, very concerned."

Schatz pointed to ongoing concerns over Europe's debtcrisis. The threat of a Greek default persists, which some market and economic pros postulate could trigger another Lehman-like crisis for global financial markets.

At the moment, U.S. markets are "hanging on" to every word on Europe, Schatz said.

"It's not healthy. At some point, you're going to need some kind of resolution to get the system flowing again," he said.

Thus, the best case scenario for the stock market, is one "quick shot down," and then a reversal in mid-October, Schatz went on to say.

"The market is going to bottom in October — and I think we'll have a strong rally in November, December," he said.

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Disclosures:

Disclosure information was not available for Paul Schatz or his company.

Disclaimer

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As Wall Street kicks off the fourth quarter, the best case scenario for markets would be "one, quick shot down," and the worst case scenario would be a rally, Paul Schatz, Heritage Capital president, told CNBC on Monday.

   
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