Is Gold a Lot Like Housing in 2008?
If you’re somebody who watches the market, chances are you also keep an eye on the action in gold.
And over the past year the GLD which tracks the precious metal is up about 20%. Over the same period the S&P is down about 3%.
Considering gold has done nothing but march higher for quite some time, money pros are wondering if it’s prudent to compare gold to another tangible asset that also marched higher a few years ago - housing.
The argument is – housing is a tangible asset and one everyone assumed would continually go up, but it fell 30-40%, say the pros.
But trader Steve Grasso says there’s a key difference.
”Housing was subsidized by the Federal government through unusually low interest rates. By contrast gold is not subsidized."
Trader Stephen Weiss sees it different. “Gold is definitely subsidized,” he says. “It’s an inflation hedge,” and the Federal Reserve is trying to generate inflation any way it can.
As you might imagine, Steve Grasso thinks the trade is long gold. "I think there’s a new class of investor moving into gold,” he says.
Grasso argues investors no longer trust the central banks of the world and as a result gold is the only alternative. "This is a psychological change - people have lost confidence in fiat currency. This is in the beginning stages. Gold is going higher," he says dismissing Weiss' argument. "Much higher."
Conversely, Stephen Weiss doesn't think gold can go much higher. “I'm not saying gold is in jeopardy but I don’t know if has a lot more upside. Don't buy at the top."
Trader Jon Najarian says “based on the money flows of institutions I see more upside – I don’t see any signs of profit taking.”
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Trader disclosure: On Nov 18, 2011, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Weiss owns KO; Weiss owns HPQ; Weiss owns RIMM; Weiss owns EUO; Weiss owns WLP; Karabell owns AAPL; Karabell owns MS; Karabell owns IBM; Grasso owns AKS; Grasso owns AMR; Grasso owns ASTM; Grasso owns AVAV; Grasso owns BA; Grasso owns BAC; Grasso owns D; Grasso owns KEG; Grasso owns LIT; Grasso owns MHY; Grasso owns PFE; Grasso owns PRST; Grasso owns S; Grasso owns XLU
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