Retail Stocks Show Strength Outside of Luxury
On a day Tiffany shares plummeted more than 10 percent, the “Fast Money” pros saw bright spots away from ultra-luxury names.
Retail expert Patty Edwards of Trutina Financial liked Lululemon Athletica.
“When you look at LULU, it’d almost been left for dead by a lot of folks,” she said Tuesday. “There is a growth story there, and I think you have to look at the actual underlying fundamentals of each individual retailer.”
Edwards was skeptical of luxury retailer Tiffany after it revised its guidance downward for 2012.
“I’m not shocked,” she said, adding that bridge brands such as Coach could face headwinds. “That is more of an aspirational brand with a lot of international exposure.”
A day ago, “Fast Money” technical analyst Abigail Doolittle said Tiffany share prices were trading in “a bearish wedge pattern,” while Coach was also vulnerable.
Tiffany closed at $59.94; Coach shares were down 0.86 percent at $62.32. Liz Claiborne dropped 13 percent to close at $8.64.
Citigroup retail analyst Deborah Weinswig, who doesn’t formally rate Tiffany stock, said luxury retail sales could slow as consumers shift from high-end shops to department stores.
“We have definitely adjusted our numbers for 2012 as we have increased skepticism on what we’re going to see out of the European tourist,” she said. She added that retailers have so far reported strong sales from foreign shoppers.
Weinswig picked Nordstrom to perform with a “buy” rating.
“They don’t discount. their Internet sales have been unstoppable,” she said. “They’re starting to do same-day delivery. They are probably the furthest ahead in their tech spending, and for the year they’re on track to basically deliver a 7.3 percent comp.”
Weinswig also held a “buy” rating on Saks.
“We feel they’ve made big steps ahead on the luxury side, especially in fine jewelry,” she said.
Patty Edwards agreed with Weinswig on Nordstrom.
“I like the fact that it is simply a U.S. name,” she said.
Trader Zack Karabell was keeping his long Tiffany calls.
“It’s likely to be a company-specific issue, a lot of it was whether or not people shopped there, in New York, over Christmas,” he said. “Unless you see this confirmed from the rest of the space — from Coach, from Lauren, all the other names we’ve said — you really have to leave it as a company-specific issue. It could also be quite transitory.”
Trader Joe Terranova liked PVH, formerly Phillips-Van Heusen.
“U.S.-centric theme,” he said. “I think that’s the play in the high-end retail space.”
- Are Charts Forecasting Drops In Tiffany, Coach?
- Patty Edwards: 5 Dividend Payers to Buy Right Now!
- Video: Retail Sales Outlook for 2012
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Trader disclosure: On Jan. 10, 2012, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders: Terranova owns APC; Terranova owns OXY; Terranova owns XOM; Terranova owns VRTS; Terranova owns IBM; Terranova owns CSCO; Terranova owns AXP; Terranova owns SBUX; Terranova owns CSX; Terranova owns SWN; Terranova owns AXP; Karabell is long AAPL; Karabell is long XLF; Karabell is long IBM; Rivertwice is short AA; Karabell is long FCX; Karabell is long calls GOOG; Karabell is long calls AMZN; Cortes is long SO; Cortes is long XLU; Cortes is short Corn; Cortes is short Wheat; Cortes is short Crude; Cortes is short XRT; Cortes is short IYT vs. S&P long; Cortes is short QQQ;
Rivertwice has short puts GS;
Trutina Financial is long QCOM
Trutina Financial is long INTC
Trutina Financial is long GLD
Trutina Financial is long PGM
Trutina Financial is long AA
Trutina Financial is long YUM
Trutina Financial is long MCD
Trutina Financial is long BMY
Trutina Financial is long JNJ
Trutina Financial is long AMZN
Trutina Financial is long AAPL
Trutina Financial is long GWW
Dicker is long oil futures and short call options
Dr. Anthony (Tony) Coles
Gregory Hertz, CFA, CPA, Associate, holds a long position in the securities of Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
Leo Kulp, CFA, Analyst, holds a long position in the securities of Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
Citigroup Global Markets Inc. or its affiliates beneficially owns 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of JC Penney Co Inc. This position reflects information available as of the prior business day.
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Citigroup Global Markets Inc. currently has, or had within the past 12 months, the following as clients, and the services provided were non-investment-banking, non-securities-related: CVS Caremark Corp, Dollar General Corp., JC Penney Co Inc, Kohl's Corp, Kroger Co, Safeway Inc, SUPERVALU INC, Walgreen Co, Wal-Mart Stores Inc, Costco Wholesale Corp.
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