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20 Stocks With the Potential to Drop (Q1 2012)

20 Stocks with the Potential to Drop

It's the basic question when investing in a stock: is it on the way up or down? The street has developed numerous ways of attempting to predict what will happen, estimating various attributes tied to stock performance in order to determine what the future holds for a company's valuation. After dissecting the data, analysts following a particular stock produce a price target of where they believe the stock is headed. With data from Thomson Reuters, CNBC.com grouped stocks in the S&P 500 with aver
Photo: Kyu Oh | Photodisc | Getty Images

It's the basic question when investing in a stock: is it on the way up or down?

The street has developed numerous ways of attempting to predict what will happen, estimating various attributes tied to stock performance in order to determine what the future holds for a company's valuation.

After dissecting the data, analysts following a particular stock produce a price target of where they believe the stock is headed. With data from Thomson Reuters, CNBC.com grouped stocks in the S&P 500 with average consensus estimates farthest below their stock prices.

At the current levels, only 25 stocks have surpassed their respective target estimates by 4 percent or more. The prices and analysts’ estimates presented here are as of the market close on January 10, 2012.

So, which stocks are analysts expecting to have the biggest drops? Click ahead to find out!

By Giovanny Moreano & Paul Toscano
Posted 10 Jan 2012

20. The Dun & Bradstreet Corp (DNB)

Potential to Drop: 5.25% Mean Price Target: $73.50 Closing Price (1/10): $77.57 Number of Analysts: 6 High Estimate: $82 Low Estimate: $55
Photo: DNB.com

Potential to Drop: 5.25%
Mean Price Target: $73.50
Closing Price (1/10): $77.57

Number of Analysts: 6
High Estimate: $82
Low Estimate: $55

Get DNB Real-Time Quote

19. Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Potential to Drop: 5.53% Mean Price Target: $37.56 Closing Price (1/10): $39.76 Number of Analysts: 8 High Estimate: $50 Low Estimate: $27
Photo: Carol M. Highsmith | Buyenlarge | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 5.38%
Mean Price Target: $37.56
Closing Price (1/10): $39.70

Number of Analysts: 8
High Estimate: $50
Low Estimate: $27

Get VMC Real-Time Quote

18. Netflix (NFLX)

Potential to Drop: 6.74% Mean Price Target: $90.61 Closing Price (1/10): $97.16 Number of Analysts: 23 High Estimate: $245 Low Estimate: $45
Photo: Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 5.45%
Mean Price Target: $90.61
Closing Price (1/10): $95.83

Number of Analysts: 23
High Estimate: $245
Low Estimate: $45

Get NFLX Real-Time Quote

17. Consolidated Edison (ED)

Potential to Drop: 5.83% Mean Price Target: $55.89 Closing Price (1/10): $59.35 Number of Analysts: 14 High Estimate: $63 Low Estimate: $50
Photo: Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 5.81%
Mean Price Target: $55.89
Closing Price (1/10): $59.34

Number of Analysts: 14
High Estimate: $63
Low Estimate: $50

Get ED Real-Time Quote

16. HCP Inc (HCP)

Potential to Drop: 5.84% Mean Price Target: $38.54 Closing Price (1/10): $40.93 Number of Analysts: 13 High Estimate: $44 Low Estimate: $34
Photo: Paul Burns | Lifestyle | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 6.23%
Mean Price Target: $38.54
Closing Price (1/10): $41.10

Number of Analysts: 13
High Estimate: $44
Low Estimate: $34

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15. Autonation (AN)

Potential to Drop: 4.97% Mean Price Target: $32.19 Closing Price (1/10): $33.87 Number of Analysts: 8 High Estimate: $37 Low Estimate: $24
Photo: Autonation

Potential to Drop: 6.27%
Mean Price Target: $32.19
Closing Price (1/10): $34.34

Number of Analysts: 8
High Estimate: $37
Low Estimate: $24

Get AN Real-Time Quote

14. Molex (MOLX)

Potential to Drop: 5.62% Mean Price Target: $23.92 Closing Price (1/10): $25.34 Number of Analysts: 12 High Estimate: $29 Low Estimate: $13
Photo: Molex.com

Potential to Drop: 6.43%
Mean Price Target: $23.92
Closing Price (1/10): $25.56

Number of Analysts: 12
High Estimate: $29
Low Estimate: $13

Get MOLX Real-Time Quote

13. Public Storage (PSA)

Potential to Drop: 6.31% Mean Price Target: $124.94 Closing Price (1/10): $133.36 Number of Analysts: 17 High Estimate: $140 Low Estimate: $103
Photo: AP

Potential to Drop: 6.50%
Mean Price Target: $124.94
Closing Price (1/10): $133.63

Number of Analysts: 17
High Estimate: $140
Low Estimate: $103

Get PSA Real-Time Quote

11. Safeway (SWY)

Potential to Drop: 7.54% Mean Price Target: $20 Closing Price (1/10): $21.63 Number of Analysts: 13 High Estimate: $28 Low Estimate: $16
Photo: David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 6.54%
Mean Price Target: $20
Closing Price (1/10): $21.40

Number of Analysts: 13
High Estimate: $28
Low Estimate: $16

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10. Eli Lilly (LLY)

Potential to Drop: 6.53% Mean Price Target: $37.68 Closing Price (1/10): $40.31 Number of Analysts: 14 High Estimate: $43 Low Estimate: $34
Photo: Doug McSchooler | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 6.57%
Mean Price Target: $37.68
Closing Price (1/10): $40.33

Number of Analysts: 14
High Estimate: $43
Low Estimate: $34

Get LLY Real-Time Quote

9. Progress Energy (PGN)

Potential to Drop: 7.74% Mean Price Target: $50.54 Closing Price (1/10): $54.78 Number of Analysts: 13 High Estimate: $57 Low Estimate: $43.5
Photo: Jim R. Bounds | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 7.33%
Mean Price Target: $50.54
Closing Price (1/10): $54.54

Number of Analysts: 13
High Estimate: $57
Low Estimate: $43.5

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8. Oneok (OKE)

Potential to Drop: 7.23% Mean Price Target: $81.67 Closing Price (1/10): $88.03 Number of Analysts: 6 High Estimate: $93 Low Estimate: $75
Photo: Oneok | Facebook

Potential to Drop: 7.37%
Mean Price Target: $81.67
Closing Price (1/10): $88.16

Number of Analysts: 6
High Estimate: $93
Low Estimate: $75

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7. Lexmark International (LXK)

Potential to Drop: 9.00% Mean Price Target: $31.44 Closing Price (1/10): $34.55 Number of Analysts: 9 High Estimate: $46 Low Estimate: $25
Photo: Lexmark

Potential to Drop: 7.84%
Mean Price Target: $31.44
Closing Price (1/10): $34.12

Number of Analysts: 9
High Estimate: $46
Low Estimate: $25

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6. PulteGroup (PHM)

Potential to Drop: 12.07% Mean Price Target: $6.66 Closing Price (1/10): $7.57 Number of Analysts: 16 High Estimate: $8 Low Estimate: $4
Photo: Getty Images

Potential to Drop: 8.04%
Mean Price Target: $6.75
Closing Price (1/10): $7.34

Number of Analysts: 16
High Estimate: $8
Low Estimate: $4

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5. Genuine Parts (GPC)

Potential to Drop: 9.34% Mean Price Target: $57 Closing Price (1/10): $62.87 Number of Analysts: 4 High Estimate: $62 Low Estimate: $53
Photo by: Paul D. Clayton Jr.

Potential to Drop: 9.25%
Mean Price Target: $57
Closing Price (1/10): $62.81

Number of Analysts: 4
High Estimate: $62
Low Estimate: $53

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4. Fastenal (FAST)

Potential to Drop: 10.28% Mean Price Target: $40.83 Closing Price (1/10): $45.51 Number of Analysts: 6 High Estimate: $44 Low Estimate: $33
Photo: Fastenal | Facebook

Potential to Drop: 9.28%
Mean Price Target: $40.83
Closing Price (1/10): $45.01

Number of Analysts: 6
High Estimate: $44
Low Estimate: $33

Get FAST Real-Time Quote

3. Ameren Corp (AEE)

Potential to Drop: 9.69% Mean Price Target: $29.14 Closing Price (1/10): $32.27Number of Analysts: 7 High Estimate: $32 Low Estimate: $23
Photo: AP

Potential to Drop: 9.75%
Mean Price Target: $29.14
Closing Price (1/10): $32.29

Number of Analysts: 7
High Estimate: $32
Low Estimate: $23

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2. Cincinnati Financial (CINF)

Potential to Drop: 10.24% Mean Price Target: $28 Closing Price (1/10): $31.19 Number of Analysts: 5 High Estimate: $31 Low Estimate: $25

Potential to Drop: 10.60%
Mean Price Target: $28
Closing Price (1/10): $31.32

Number of Analysts: 5
High Estimate: $31
Low Estimate: $25

Get CINF Real-Time Quote

1. Masco Corp (MAS)

Potential to Drop: 14.19% Mean Price Target: $10.03 Closing Price (1/10): $11.69 Number of Analysts: 8 High Estimate: $14 Low Estimate: $7
Photo: Anne Hornyak

Potential to Drop: 12.47%
Mean Price Target: $10.03
Closing Price (1/10): $11.46

Number of Analysts: 8
High Estimate: $14
Low Estimate: $7

Get MAS Real-Time Quote