How to Trade the European Central Bank Meeting
The European Central Bank has its monthly meeting and news conference on Thursday. Here's how to get ready.
"We're looking for a chance perhaps with the ECB meeting to sell the euro on a rally," he told CNBC's Simon Hobbs.
Both technical factors and fundamentals are weighing on the euro, Busch says.
It's been trading in "a really nice downtrend channel," he says, between 1.2550 and 1.2975. And the difference in yield between 2-year German and 2-year U.S. bonds is now plus 10.5 for the U.S., he says, indicating that markets expect an interest rate cut.
Busch is hoping that the European Central Bank meeting will produce some kind of good news that would push the currency up temporarily and allow him to get into a short euro position with room to move. He would take profit at 1.2575 with a stop at 1.3050.
Be careful, though. With investors holding extremely large short euro positions, Busch thinks the downside for the currency is limited. "Any euro shorts had better be looking to take back about half that position back at the bottom end of this channel, at 1.2550," he says.
You can watch the discussion on the video.
Tune In: CNBC's "Money in Motion Currency Trading" airs on Fridays at 5:30pm and repeats on Saturdays at 7pm.
Learn more: The essential vocabulary for currency trading is on Key Currency Terms. Top currency strategies are broken down for you in Currency Class.
Talk back: Tell us what you want to hear about - email us at email@example.com.