Around 1360, Big S&P Advance Unlikely: Pros
On Thursday money pros were pulling their hair out, trying to determine if the reversal in the market would push the S&P above 1370 – a level of past resistance.
“It’s on the bulls to ratchet the market higher,” says Fast pro Guy Adami.
After a few days of declines, the S&P 500 reversed direction and rallied to a nine-month high fueled by strong U.S. economic data and increased hopes for a deal on a Greek bailout next week.
Sectors sensitive to economic growth led the market, with technology, materials and financials leading on a day when all 10 S&P sectors finished higher.
After Thursday's gains, the S&P now faces a key level – the 1360-1370 level.
"We really need to churn through this area. We've been here before, we've failed here before," says Stephen Massocca, managing director at Wedbush Morgan in a Reuters interview.
“I’m all about 1370,” says trader Steve Grasso. “That was the May 2011 high. If we can break above, I do think we go to 1400,” he says.
The questions becomes will the market break out?
Largely the Fast Money traders do not think so.
“I think it’s tough sledding from here,” says trader Guy Adami. He feels the market faces far too many headwinds and investors will likely take profits at these levels.
Keith McCullough of Hedgeye Risk Management says much the same. “We shorted the S&P today,” he reveals. And looking at the technicals, he sees no chart patterns that suggest the market environment is making a significant change. “It’s still all about playing ranges,” he says.
Trader Steve Grasso is hearing similar commentary from his clients. They’re saying, “over the next couple of months the market could fall off a cliff and test 1257 – and even 1200,” he says. The thesis is that right now investors are chasing yield but if Europe’s recession get worse, it could ripple across the US economy - and hit the US stock market.
Only trader Tim Seymour is relatively bullish. “Europe in recession is not Europe in implosion,” he says. He thinks at currently levels stocks are just too cheap.
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Trader disclosure: On Feb 16, 2011, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Grasso is long ASTM; Grasso is long S; Grasso is long XLU; Grasso is long AVAV; Grasso is long BA; Grasso is long D; Grasso is long DIO; Grasso is long LIT; Grasso is long MHY; Grasso is long NUAN; Grasso is long MO; Grasso is long PFE; Grasso is long PRST; Seymour is long BAC; Seymour is long INTC; Adami owns C; Adami owns GS; Adami owns MSFT; Adami owns AGU; Adami owns NUE; Adami owns INTC; Adami owns BTU
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