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Wait Till 2013 For 'Meaningful' Penney Earnings: Analyst

Friday, 24 Feb 2012 | 2:48 PM ET

It will take at least a year before J.C. Penneyreports earnings improvement resulting from its new “store within a store” strategy, Piper Jaffrey retail analyst Jeff Klinefelter told CNBC.

On Friday, Penney reported quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street’s expectations but profit margins fell because sales at stores open at least a year fell 1.8 percent during the holiday quarter.

“It’s really next year where we’ll start to see meaningful earnings gains,” said Klinefelter, who has a $50 price target on Penney.

“We’re viewing Penney as a margin recovery story. It’s going to take a couple of years to get to an earnings level that we think warrants a 15-times valuation. That’s how we based our $50 price target,” he explained.

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He said it’s going to take “not only additional months but probably several quarters until we have a firm grasp on the success of the [Penney] strategy. However, there are glimmers of hope.”

And then there’s Gap, whose fourth-quarter net income dropped 40 percent, although still beating expectations, on higher costs and heavy discounting to get holiday shoppers into the store. On Thursday, Gap also announced a $1 billion share repurchase and approved a plan to raise its annual dividend to 50 cents from 45 cents.

The share repurchase and raising the dividend are part of “an ongoing effort to deliver value to shareholders,” Klinefelter said. “It clearly has not been coming in the form of comps or same store sales gains or market share gains. So they have been returning their cash flow, which they’ve managed very effectively the last few years.”

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Disclosures:

Jeff Klinefeller does not own shares of J.C. Penney or Gap. Piper Jaffray owns shares of J.C. Penney.

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